Tulsa

30-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.6%Tulsa

61.4%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL164.7

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -159

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTulsa 81

Projected Total164.7

Projected ScoreAuburn 83

Team Comparison

TulsaMetricAuburn

64.8MMH Power Index64.4

121.1Offensive Efficiency118.8

104.8Defensive Efficiency113.0

16.3Net Efficiency5.8

0.0Strength of Schedule7.5

10.3Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

70.2Tempo69.8

55.4%Effective FG%53.1%

15.4%Turnover Rate14.5%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

42.4%Free Throw Rate43.8%

11.5Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tulsa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTulsa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.8–64.4), offensive efficiency (121.1–118.8), defensive efficiency (104.8–113.0), net efficiency (16.3–5.8).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.5–0.0), ball security (14.5–15.4), offensive rebounding (36.5–33.8).

Final

Tulsa

86—92

Auburn

Auburn by 6 • 81.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TulsaTEAM STATAuburn

27-62FG30-67

44.0%FG%45.0%

6-263PT11-27

23.0%3PT%41.0%

26-32FT21-28

81.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds39

8Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists19

14Turnovers13

6Steals8

4Blocks2

20Fouls21

Player Box Score

Tulsa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Green	F	42	8-17	1-7	8-9	6	2	0	2	25
Tylen Riley	G	40	6-15	1-3	7-8	3	3	3	0	20
Ade Popoola	G	37	4-13	2-9	3-4	3	1	0	0	13
Tyler Behrend	F	24	3-5	0-0	3-4	5	1	1	0	9
Miles Barnstable	G	41	2-7	1-5	3-3	6	2	2	1	8
Jaylen Lawal	G	5	1-2	1-2	2-3	0	0	0	0	5
Ian Smikle	F	19	2-2	0-0	0-1	6	2	0	1	4
Myles Rigsby	G	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Romad Dean	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
KJ Martin Jr.	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kevin Overton	G	42	7-13	5-8	7-8	1	3	2	1	26
Tahaad Pettiford	G	43	8-22	4-11	4-5	2	8	0	1	24
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	36	5-12	1-4	2-2	3	1	2	0	13
Filip Jovic	F	26	6-10	0-0	0-0	3	4	1	0	12
Keyshawn Hall	F	27	3-7	1-3	4-5	12	2	1	0	11
Elyjah Freeman	G	33	1-3	0-1	4-8	14	0	2	0	6
Blake Muschalek	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kaden Magwood	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.8Possessions81.8

105.1Offensive Efficiency112.5

112.5Defensive Efficiency105.1

-7.3Net Efficiency7.3

48.4%Effective FG%53.0%

55.7%True Shooting %57.3%

16.8%Turnover Rate16.2%

51.6%Free Throw Rate41.8%

41.9%3-Point Rate40.3%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.46

Game Summary

Auburn won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 81.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.