Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.4%Georgia State

96.6%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -20.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.3

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -2841

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 68

Projected Total156.3

Projected ScoreAuburn 88

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricAuburn

38.9MMH Power Index64.4

101.3Offensive Efficiency118.8

107.5Defensive Efficiency113.0

-6.2Net Efficiency5.8

-1.7Strength of Schedule7.5

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

69.5Tempo69.8

45.3%Effective FG%53.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate14.5%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

37.4%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-4.3Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–38.9), offensive efficiency (118.8–101.3), net efficiency (5.8–-6.2), strength of schedule (7.5–-1.7).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–113.0).

Final

Georgia State

59—100

Auburn

Auburn by 41 • 74.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATAuburn

21-62FG35-61

34.0%FG%57.0%

4-223PT9-25

18.0%3PT%36.0%

13-20FT21-26

65.0%FT%81.0%

34Rebounds34

17Offensive Rebounds10

7Assists19

20Turnovers11

7Steals11

—Blocks9

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Nick McMullen	Forward	40	4-8	0-2	7-10	16	2	3	15
Cesare Edwards	Center	24	5-13	2-4	3-4	7	1	0	15
Malachi Brown	G	27	3-8	1-3	0-0	1	2	2	7
Jelani Hamilton	G	23	3-9	1-5	0-0	3	0	0	7
Toneari Lane	G	28	2-11	0-6	1-2	3	1	0	5
Darnell Evans	Guard	9	1-1	0-0	2-3	0	0	0	4
Zarique Nutter	F	21	1-7	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	2
Clash Peters	F	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	2
Malik Ferguson	G	5	1-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	2
Jason Jackson	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chaney Johnson	Forward	30	12-14	0-1	2-5	8	4	2	0	26
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	25	4-11	0-4	11-11	4	6	1	0	19
Denver Jones	Guard	22	6-9	5-7	0-0	0	0	1	0	17
Tahaad Pettiford	G	26	3-8	1-4	0-0	1	0	2	0	7
Jahki Howard	F	14	1-3	1-2	4-4	2	0	2	2	7
Miles Kelly	Guard	28	1-6	0-5	4-4	4	1	1	2	6
Dylan Cardwell	Center	17	3-3	0-0	0-2	6	2	0	2	6
Ja'Heim Hudson	Forward	17	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	4
Chris Moore	Forward	13	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	2	1	3
JP Pegues	Guard	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Johni Broome	Forward	2	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	2
Blake Muschalek	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
CJ Williams	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Presley Patterson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.5Possessions74.5

79.2Offensive Efficiency134.2

134.2Defensive Efficiency79.2

-55.0Net Efficiency55.0

37.1%Effective FG%64.8%

41.3%True Shooting %68.2%

26.8%Turnover Rate14.8%

32.3%Free Throw Rate42.6%

35.5%3-Point Rate41.0%

0.35Assist / Turnover1.73

Game Summary

Auburn won by 41 points. The game played at approximately 74.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.