Florida

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.1%Florida

24.9%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL158.1

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida -302

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida 82

Projected Total158.1

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 76

Team Comparison

FloridaMetricNorth Carolina

79.7MMH Power Index65.2

120.9Offensive Efficiency115.5

99.3Defensive Efficiency103.8

21.6Net Efficiency11.7

7.1Strength of Schedule7.6

24.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

72.0Tempo69.0

54.2%Effective FG%54.6%

16.3%Turnover Rate13.9%

42.8%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

39.8%Free Throw Rate38.1%

15.6Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.7–65.2), offensive efficiency (120.9–115.5), defensive efficiency (99.3–103.8), net efficiency (21.6–11.7).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.6–7.1), shooting efficiency (54.6–54.2), ball security (13.9–16.3).

Final

Florida

90—84

North Carolina

Florida by 6 • 78.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FloridaTEAM STATNorth Carolina

30-65FG33-72

46.0%FG%46.0%

11-323PT5-28

34.0%3PT%18.0%

19-27FT13-19

70.0%FT%68.0%

46Rebounds36

16Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists10

17Turnovers10

7Steals11

3Blocks2

20Fouls23

Player Box Score

Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Will Richard	Guard	36	8-10	3-5	3-4	6	1	2	0	22
Alijah Martin	Guard	36	5-17	2-12	7-9	5	4	1	0	19
Walter Clayton Jr.	Guard	33	4-15	1-7	3-4	6	2	0	0	12
Denzel Aberdeen	G	16	5-6	2-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	12
Alex Condon	F	30	2-4	2-3	3-4	10	5	0	3	9
Thomas Haugh	F	20	3-5	1-2	2-4	6	0	1	0	9
Rueben Chinyelu	C	22	2-6	0-0	0-0	9	0	2	0	4
Sam Alexis	F	7	1-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	1	0	3

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	36	10-19	3-11	6-7	8	1	4	0	29
Seth Trimble	G	34	4-10	0-2	3-3	7	0	3	0	11
Elliot Cadeau	G	31	5-12	1-5	0-1	1	7	1	0	11
Ian Jackson	G	22	5-9	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	11
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	23	3-4	0-0	1-3	4	0	1	1	7
Jalen Washington	C	14	3-6	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	7
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	10	2-4	0-2	1-1	2	1	0	0	5
Drake Powell	Guard	13	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	2	1	2
Ty Claude	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Cade Tyson	G	15	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.4Possessions78.4

114.8Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency114.8

7.7Net Efficiency-7.7

54.6%Effective FG%49.3%

57.8%True Shooting %51.8%

21.6%Turnover Rate12.8%

41.5%Free Throw Rate26.4%

49.2%3-Point Rate38.9%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Florida won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 78.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.