Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.3%Michigan State

19.7%Oakland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -8.7

PROJECTED TOTAL159.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -408

Oakland

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 84

Projected Total159.0

Projected ScoreOakland 75

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricOakland

69.8MMH Power Index52.6

117.0Offensive Efficiency115.7

101.5Defensive Efficiency114.5

15.5Net Efficiency1.2

7.2Strength of Schedule2.1

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.4

67.3Tempo71.4

54.1%Effective FG%53.3%

17.2%Turnover Rate14.7%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

36.6%Free Throw Rate38.5%

10.5Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–52.6), offensive efficiency (117.0–115.7), defensive efficiency (101.5–114.5), net efficiency (15.5–1.2).

Oakland COUNTERS WITHball security (14.7–17.2), free throw rate (38.5–36.6).

Final

Michigan State

77—58

Oakland

Michigan State by 19 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATOakland

26-60FG19-63

43.0%FG%30.0%

6-173PT11-31

35.0%3PT%35.0%

19-23FT9-17

83.0%FT%53.0%

51Rebounds31

20Offensive Rebounds15

14Assists12

12Turnovers8

3Steals6

11Blocks5

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Booker	F	17	5-9	3-5	5-6	6	1	0	1	18
Jaden Akins	Guard	24	5-11	2-6	5-7	2	1	0	0	17
Jaxon Kohler	F	25	6-11	0-1	2-2	10	1	0	3	14
Jase Richardson	Guard	20	2-4	1-2	2-2	2	1	1	0	7
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	24	1-4	0-0	2-2	3	4	1	1	4
Tre Holloman	G	21	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	4
Coen Carr	F	16	1-5	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	4
Szymon Zapala	Center	19	1-3	0-0	1-2	8	3	0	6	3
Frankie Fidler	Forward	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Carson Cooper	C	12	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Nick Sanders	G	2	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Gehrig Normand	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kur Teng	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Oakland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DQ Cole	Guard	36	6-20	5-12	0-0	8	2	0	0	17
Malcolm Christie	G	24	5-10	4-9	1-3	2	0	1	0	15
Allen Mukeba	F	32	3-10	0-0	1-2	1	2	0	3	7
Isaiah Jones	F	28	2-7	2-2	1-2	8	1	2	0	7
Jaylen Jones	G	26	1-5	0-1	3-4	2	5	2	0	5
Zavier Banks	Forward	2	1-2	0-0	3-3	3	0	0	0	5
Nassim Mashhour	G	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Cooper Craggs	Forward	19	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	1	0
Jayson Woodrich	Guard	15	0-4	0-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Deng Majak	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	1	0
Jeremiah Bembry	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Warren Marshall IV	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

121.3Offensive Efficiency91.3

91.3Defensive Efficiency121.3

29.9Net Efficiency-29.9

48.3%Effective FG%38.9%

54.3%True Shooting %40.8%

19.1%Turnover Rate12.5%

38.3%Free Throw Rate27.0%

28.3%3-Point Rate49.2%

1.17Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.