UNLV

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.4%UNLV

78.6%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -367

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNLV 72

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreDayton 81

Team Comparison

UNLVMetricDayton

52.8MMH Power Index59.9

111.0Offensive Efficiency108.5

109.6Defensive Efficiency101.5

1.4Net Efficiency7.0

2.7Strength of Schedule5.7

1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

71.4Tempo68.3

53.7%Effective FG%52.0%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.9%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

41.6%Free Throw Rate47.6%

1.0Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–52.8), defensive efficiency (101.5–109.6), net efficiency (7.0–1.4), strength of schedule (5.7–2.7).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.0–108.5), shooting efficiency (53.7–52.0), offensive rebounding (30.8–26.7).

Final

UNLV

65—66

Dayton

Dayton by 1 • 59.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNLVTEAM STATDayton

22-53FG24-51

42.0%FG%47.0%

8-193PT5-21

42.0%3PT%24.0%

13-16FT13-16

81.0%FT%81.0%

30Rebounds30

8Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists15

7Turnovers8

4Steals5

2Blocks1

12Fouls16

Player Box Score

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	39	5-14	1-3	5-6	3	6	1	0	16
Jaden Henley	G	27	5-8	0-2	5-5	7	1	1	0	15
Julian Rishwain	Guard	33	4-8	4-7	0-0	4	1	1	0	12
Jailen Bedford	G	16	3-7	2-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	8
Jeremiah Cherry	F	25	3-7	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	2	6
Jalen Hill	Forward	28	1-6	0-1	2-2	1	3	0	0	4
Brooklyn Hicks	G	17	1-2	1-2	1-2	4	1	0	0	4
Pape N'Diaye	F	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Santos	Forward	30	5-9	1-3	3-4	4	0	0	0	14
Zed Key	Forward	24	4-6	0-0	5-5	4	1	0	0	13
Malachi Smith	G	33	5-10	0-3	1-3	1	5	1	0	11
Amaël L'Etang	F	16	4-6	2-3	0-0	6	0	0	0	10
Javon Bennett	G	30	3-7	2-6	0-0	1	1	3	0	8
Posh Alexander	Guard	21	3-7	0-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	6
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	32	0-4	0-2	4-4	10	6	0	1	4
Jacob Conner	F	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Hamad Mousa	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaiun Simon	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.6Possessions59.6

109.1Offensive Efficiency110.7

110.7Defensive Efficiency109.1

-1.7Net Efficiency1.7

49.1%Effective FG%52.0%

53.6%True Shooting %56.3%

11.7%Turnover Rate13.4%

30.2%Free Throw Rate31.4%

35.8%3-Point Rate41.2%

1.71Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Dayton won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 59.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.