East Texas A&M

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.3%East Texas A&M

69.7%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL139.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -230

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Texas A&M 67

Projected Total139.7

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 73

Team Comparison

East Texas A&MMetricNorthwestern State

38.4MMH Power Index41.3

101.2Offensive Efficiency104.0

107.5Defensive Efficiency109.0

-6.3Net Efficiency-5.0

-1.5Strength of Schedule-1.6

-9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

69.3Tempo63.6

50.7%Effective FG%49.5%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.6%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

31.9%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-4.3Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–38.4), offensive efficiency (104.0–101.2), net efficiency (-5.0–-6.3), recent form (-4.9–-9.1).

East Texas A&M COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–109.0), strength of schedule (-1.5–-1.6), shooting efficiency (50.7–49.5).

Final

East Texas A&M

74—68

Northwestern State

East Texas A&M by 6 • 63.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Texas A&MTEAM STATNorthwestern State

27-52FG27-52

52.0%FG%52.0%

11-253PT7-17

44.0%3PT%41.0%

9-10FT7-14

90.0%FT%50.0%

31Rebounds26

4Offensive Rebounds4

14Assists15

11Turnovers8

5Steals7

2Blocks—

12Fouls13

Player Box Score

East Texas A&M

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gianni Hunt	G	38	6-12	2-6	2-2	5	6	2	0	16
Damian Garcia	G	35	7-10	2-5	0-0	6	5	0	0	16
Vinny Sigona	G	28	5-9	5-9	1-1	5	0	0	0	16
Noah Pagotto	F	37	4-9	2-2	4-4	7	0	0	0	14
Josh Taylor	F	36	5-8	0-1	2-2	5	2	1	2	12
Evan Phelps	G	22	0-3	0-2	0-1	1	1	2	0	0
Parker Whisenhunt	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	34	10-15	3-6	0-0	2	2	2	23
Willie Williams	F	25	5-8	0-0	0-3	8	1	1	10
Izzy Miles	G	23	3-6	1-2	2-3	5	2	0	9
Justin Redmond	G	18	3-7	2-5	0-0	3	4	0	8
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	10	3-7	0-0	2-2	1	0	2	8
Landyn Jumawan	G	15	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	3
Moustapha Loum	F	14	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	3
Kordrick Turner	F	9	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	3
CJ Larry	PG	20	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	1	1	1
Chris Mubiru	G	20	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	0
Chip Brunt	G	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.3Possessions63.3

116.9Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency116.9

9.5Net Efficiency-9.5

62.5%Effective FG%58.7%

65.2%True Shooting %58.0%

17.3%Turnover Rate12.8%

19.2%Free Throw Rate26.9%

48.1%3-Point Rate32.7%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

East Texas A&M won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 63.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.