Abilene Christian

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.0%Abilene Christian

68.0%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTarleton State -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINETarleton State -212

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 70

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreTarleton State 76

Team Comparison

Abilene ChristianMetricTarleton State

42.4MMH Power Index44.6

101.1Offensive Efficiency103.2

104.1Defensive Efficiency101.6

-3.0Net Efficiency1.6

-1.4Strength of Schedule-2.3

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

69.6Tempo72.2

48.9%Effective FG%49.0%

20.6%Turnover Rate19.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

42.0%Free Throw Rate42.8%

-2.1Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–42.4), offensive efficiency (103.2–101.1), defensive efficiency (101.6–104.1), net efficiency (1.6–-3.0).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-2.3), recent form (-5.3–-6.7), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.8).

Final

Abilene Christian

62—65

Tarleton State

Tarleton State by 3 • 75.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Abilene ChristianTEAM STATTarleton State

23-62FG18-41

37.0%FG%44.0%

2-193PT3-12

11.0%3PT%25.0%

14-25FT26-35

56.0%FT%74.0%

42Rebounds28

16Offensive Rebounds3

11Assists6

20Turnovers19

13Steals15

1Blocks7

26Fouls22

Player Box Score

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bradyn Hubbard	F	38	8-19	2-6	6-10	8	1	2	0	24
Cbo Newton	G	40	5-9	0-2	4-7	1	1	1	0	14
Rich Smith	G	35	6-9	0-0	0-2	5	2	3	0	12
Joseph Venzant	G	24	1-3	0-2	2-2	3	1	4	0	4
Cade Hornecker	F	25	1-9	0-2	1-2	10	1	0	1	3
Zy Wright	G	17	1-6	0-2	0-0	4	1	2	0	2
Christian Alston	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Yaniel Rivera	G	34	0-5	0-5	1-2	7	3	1	0	1
Ma'Shy Hill	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kade Douglas	G	41	8-16	3-5	5-5	3	1	1	0	24
Jordan Mizell	G	41	6-9	0-1	6-8	4	2	4	0	18
Andy Sigiscar	F	19	3-4	0-0	1-3	5	0	1	2	7
Kaia Isaac	G	34	1-4	0-3	4-4	3	1	2	0	6
Ocypher Owens	F	30	0-1	0-1	6-9	4	1	3	2	6
Freddy Hicks	G	27	0-3	0-1	2-4	2	1	4	3	2
DJ Dormu	G	11	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Damion Porter Jr.	G	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Chris Mpaka	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cameron Thomas	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.8Possessions75.8

81.8Offensive Efficiency85.8

85.8Defensive Efficiency81.8

-4.0Net Efficiency4.0

38.7%Effective FG%47.6%

42.0%True Shooting %56.4%

25.7%Turnover Rate25.8%

40.3%Free Throw Rate85.4%

30.6%3-Point Rate29.3%

0.55Assist / Turnover0.32

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 75.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.