Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.1%Toledo

91.9%Houston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston -16.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston -1135

Houston

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 67

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreHouston 83

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricHouston

58.8MMH Power Index76

116.0Offensive Efficiency118.4

109.6Defensive Efficiency95.9

6.4Net Efficiency22.5

2.3Strength of Schedule5.9

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency18.9

69.8Tempo65.2

55.1%Effective FG%52.3%

14.6%Turnover Rate12.9%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

30.3%Free Throw Rate26.9%

4.5Average Margin14.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHouston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.0–58.8), offensive efficiency (118.4–116.0), defensive efficiency (95.9–109.6), net efficiency (22.5–6.4).

Toledo COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.1–52.3), free throw rate (30.3–26.9).

Final

Toledo

49—78

Houston

Houston by 29 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATHouston

16-54FG30-67

30.0%FG%45.0%

5-183PT4-24

28.0%3PT%17.0%

12-18FT14-19

67.0%FT%74.0%

29Rebounds50

6Offensive Rebounds16

7Assists12

14Turnovers12

6Steals10

2Blocks5

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Lewis	G	29	4-11	1-2	5-5	3	1	0	0	14
Javan Simmons	F	27	3-5	0-0	3-5	3	0	1	0	9
Seth Hubbard	G	23	1-9	1-5	3-5	3	2	0	1	6
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	20	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Isaiah Adams	Guard	24	2-10	0-3	0-0	0	3	1	1	4
Sonny Wilson	G	33	1-8	1-3	0-0	5	1	2	0	3
Grgur Brcic	C	11	1-1	0-0	1-3	6	0	0	0	3
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Bryce Ford	G	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	2
Tyler Ode	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrance Arceneaux	G	27	7-12	1-2	1-2	9	1	1	0	16
Emanuel Sharp	G	20	4-10	1-6	4-4	5	0	2	0	13
Joseph Tugler	F	16	5-6	0-0	3-3	3	1	2	3	13
Milos Uzan	G	35	3-13	1-7	3-4	5	4	1	1	10
Mylik Wilson	Guard	27	4-7	0-1	2-2	5	4	2	1	10
Mercy Miller	G	12	2-6	1-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	5
J'Wan Roberts	Forward	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Ja'Vier Francis	Forward	13	1-2	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	3
L.J. Cryer	Guard	27	1-8	0-6	0-0	4	2	0	0	2
Cedric Lath	C	9	1-1	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	2
Kordel Jefferson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

68.7Offensive Efficiency109.4

109.4Defensive Efficiency68.7

-40.7Net Efficiency40.7

34.3%Effective FG%47.8%

39.2%True Shooting %51.3%

19.8%Turnover Rate16.7%

33.3%Free Throw Rate28.4%

33.3%3-Point Rate35.8%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Houston won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.