Memphis

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.4%Memphis

94.6%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -19.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -1752

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMemphis 67

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreVirginia 86

Team Comparison

MemphisMetricVirginia

47.8MMH Power Index68.9

104.6Offensive Efficiency119.0

106.5Defensive Efficiency101.8

-1.9Net Efficiency17.2

4.4Strength of Schedule5.2

-11.1Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

71.9Tempo67.6

48.7%Effective FG%55.0%

18.9%Turnover Rate16.0%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

35.1%Free Throw Rate33.2%

-1.4Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–47.8), offensive efficiency (119.0–104.6), defensive efficiency (101.8–106.5), net efficiency (17.2–-1.9).

Memphis COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (35.1–33.2).

Final

Memphis

64—62

Virginia

Memphis by 2 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MemphisTEAM STATVirginia

21-56FG21-53

38.0%FG%40.0%

5-233PT6-19

22.0%3PT%32.0%

17-21FT14-18

81.0%FT%78.0%

38Rebounds31

14Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists14

12Turnovers11

3Steals8

6Blocks7

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

Memphis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
P.J. Haggerty	G	40	8-15	1-3	10-11	5	5	1	0	27
Tyrese Hunter	Guard	38	4-11	2-8	2-3	3	3	0	0	12
Dain Dainja	Forward	26	4-9	0-0	4-5	11	0	1	2	12
PJ Carter	G	9	2-4	2-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Colby Rogers	Guard	29	1-11	0-8	1-2	3	1	0	1	3
Nick Jourdain	Forward	34	1-4	0-1	0-0	6	2	0	1	2
Moussa Cisse	Center	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	2	2
Baraka Okojie	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Saunders	F	26	4-7	3-4	4-4	4	0	0	2	15
Taine Murray	Guard	26	5-9	1-2	3-3	0	1	0	1	14
Dai Dai Ames	G	31	2-11	0-4	4-6	5	4	1	0	8
Jacob Cofie	F	14	3-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	6
Isaac McKneely	G	36	2-7	1-4	0-0	4	5	1	0	5
Andrew Rohde	G	22	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	2	3	0	5
Blake Buchanan	F	13	2-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	0	5
Anthony Robinson	F	10	1-3	0-0	0-1	6	0	1	2	2
TJ Power	F	10	0-3	0-2	2-2	0	2	0	1	2
Ishan Sharma	F	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency97.2

97.2Defensive Efficiency100.3

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

42.0%Effective FG%45.3%

48.5%True Shooting %50.4%

18.8%Turnover Rate17.3%

37.5%Free Throw Rate34.0%

41.1%3-Point Rate35.8%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Memphis won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.