Lipscomb

18-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.5%Lipscomb

73.5%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -277

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLipscomb 72

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 79

Team Comparison

LipscombMetricMiddle Tennessee

47.9MMH Power Index52.5

111.3Offensive Efficiency109.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency105.7

3.7Net Efficiency3.9

-2.5Strength of Schedule0.4

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

68.8Tempo68.8

54.8%Effective FG%52.2%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.7%

25.9%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

26.5%Free Throw Rate33.2%

2.5Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Middle Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiddle Tennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–47.9), defensive efficiency (105.7–107.6), net efficiency (3.9–3.7), strength of schedule (0.4–-2.5).

Lipscomb COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.3–109.6), shooting efficiency (54.8–52.2), ball security (16.0–16.7).

Final

Lipscomb

65—67

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee by 2 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LipscombTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

24-52FG24-63

46.0%FG%38.0%

4-183PT6-21

22.0%3PT%29.0%

13-17FT13-22

76.0%FT%59.0%

29Rebounds47

3Offensive Rebounds19

12Assists8

8Turnovers11

6Steals5

7Blocks3

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

Lipscomb

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Ognacevic	F	37	12-18	1-3	7-10	6	2	1	4	32
Gyasi Powell	Guard	36	3-8	2-5	3-3	2	2	1	0	11
Joe Anderson	Guard	37	3-6	1-3	0-0	4	4	2	0	7
Dylan Faulkner	F	23	3-6	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	2	6
Charlie Williams	C	11	2-4	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	1	4
Will Pruitt	Guard	27	1-8	0-4	1-2	5	0	1	0	3
Ross Candelino	G	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Miles White	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Grant Asman	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Logan Suber	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kellan Boylan	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jestin Porter	G	35	4-14	1-6	5-6	8	1	1	0	14
Essam Mostafa	Forward	30	4-11	0-0	4-8	10	2	1	2	12
Jlynn Counter	G	29	4-9	0-3	0-1	4	3	1	0	8
Torey Alston	F	19	4-8	0-0	0-3	5	1	0	1	8
Kamari Lands	G	15	2-5	2-3	2-2	1	0	1	0	8
Justin Bufford	Guard	17	3-4	1-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	7
Tre Green	G	21	1-3	1-3	2-2	4	0	1	0	5
Camryn Weston	Guard	24	1-6	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Chris Loofe	F	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

99.5Offensive Efficiency102.6

102.6Defensive Efficiency99.5

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

50.0%Effective FG%42.9%

54.1%True Shooting %45.6%

12.3%Turnover Rate16.8%

32.7%Free Throw Rate34.9%

34.6%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.