UT Martin

22-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.3%UT Martin

55.7%Morehead State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorehead State -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL141.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMorehead State -126

Morehead State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUT Martin 70

Projected Total141.3

Projected ScoreMorehead State 71

Team Comparison

UT MartinMetricMorehead State

49.8MMH Power Index47.3

103.8Offensive Efficiency110.8

94.0Defensive Efficiency110.0

9.8Net Efficiency0.8

-4.8Strength of Schedule-4.0

-0.8Last 10 Net Efficiency3.1

67.2Tempo67.9

49.5%Effective FG%51.3%

21.4%Turnover Rate17.3%

37.9%Offensive Rebound %36.4%

37.5%Free Throw Rate37.9%

6.6Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.8–103.8), strength of schedule (-4.0–-4.8), recent form (3.1–-0.8), shooting efficiency (51.3–49.5).

UT Martin COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (49.8–47.3), defensive efficiency (94.0–110.0), net efficiency (9.8–0.8).

Final

UT Martin

69—70

Morehead State

Morehead State by 1 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UT MartinTEAM STATMorehead State

25-64FG26-54

39.0%FG%48.0%

8-203PT8-19

40.0%3PT%42.0%

11-22FT10-16

50.0%FT%63.0%

36Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists15

9Turnovers16

6Steals7

1Blocks9

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

UT Martin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tarence Guinyard	G	37	4-14	1-2	8-14	1	3	2	1	17
Matija Žužic	G	41	4-6	2-4	2-2	4	0	0	0	12
Vlad Salaridze	F	37	4-8	2-3	0-2	5	4	1	0	10
Afan Trnka	G	31	4-13	2-5	0-0	1	5	1	0	10
Josue Grullon	G	15	4-10	1-4	0-0	5	0	0	0	9
Filip Radakovic	G	38	3-5	0-0	1-4	7	0	1	0	7
Andrija Bukumirovic	F	9	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Carlos Cortijo	Guard	4	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Lamine Niang	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
AJ Hopkins	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jerone Morton	G	30	7-11	2-3	2-3	4	7	1	0	18
Tyler Brelsford	Guard	32	4-12	1-6	4-4	5	1	1	0	13
Steven Clay	G	14	3-6	3-5	2-2	4	1	1	2	11
Anouar Mellouk	F	26	4-6	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	4	8
Kenny White Jr.	Forward	31	3-6	0-0	0-0	9	0	0	3	6
Kade Ruegsegger	Guard	33	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	3	2	0	5
George Marshall	G	23	1-4	1-2	1-3	4	1	1	0	4
Jalen Breazeale	Guard	22	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Trent Scott	Guard	3	1-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	1	0	2
Khouri Carvey	F	11	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

96.4Offensive Efficiency97.8

97.8Defensive Efficiency96.4

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

45.3%Effective FG%55.6%

46.3%True Shooting %56.8%

12.6%Turnover Rate22.3%

34.4%Free Throw Rate29.6%

31.3%3-Point Rate35.2%

1.44Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.