Long Beach State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.4%Long Beach State

54.6%Pepperdine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPepperdine -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEPepperdine -120

Pepperdine

9-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 77

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScorePepperdine 78

Team Comparison

Long Beach StateMetricPepperdine

41.1MMH Power Index38.2

103.8Offensive Efficiency103.2

107.8Defensive Efficiency113.6

-4.0Net Efficiency-10.4

-1.4Strength of Schedule0.7

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.3

72.2Tempo70.0

51.5%Effective FG%48.7%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.3%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

31.1%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-2.9Average Margin-7.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Long Beach State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLong Beach State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.1–38.2), offensive efficiency (103.8–103.2), defensive efficiency (107.8–113.6), net efficiency (-4.0–-10.4).

Pepperdine COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.7–-1.4), offensive rebounding (31.1–26.3), free throw rate (34.0–31.1).

Final

Long Beach State

79—76

Pepperdine

Long Beach State by 3 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Long Beach StateTEAM STATPepperdine

29-58FG24-59

50.0%FG%41.0%

8-233PT8-21

35.0%3PT%38.0%

13-19FT20-28

68.0%FT%71.0%

32Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists17

10Turnovers10

3Steals7

5Blocks4

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Wainwright	G	32	9-14	6-8	2-2	8	2	1	0	26
Devin Askew	G	37	6-14	0-4	6-8	1	3	2	1	18
Varick Lewis	G	18	3-7	1-5	2-2	3	1	0	0	9
Austin Johnson	Not Available	21	3-4	0-0	2-4	5	1	0	0	8
Cam Denson	F	24	3-8	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	7
Christian Richardson	C	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	6
Kam Martin	G	26	2-6	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	1	5
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	F	26	0-2	0-1	0-1	6	1	0	1	0

Pepperdine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stefan Todorovic	Forward	38	8-15	4-9	12-14	5	2	3	0	32
Maurice Odum	G	36	5-14	2-6	2-3	3	11	2	0	14
Boubacar Coulibaly	Forward	30	5-10	0-0	1-3	11	0	1	1	11
Dovydas Butka	F	32	2-5	0-1	2-4	11	3	0	0	6
Zion Bethea	G	18	2-7	1-2	1-2	1	0	1	0	6
Jaxon Olvera	G	22	1-5	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	2	4
Danilo Dožic	C	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Alonso Faure	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Taj Au-Duke	Guard	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mike Saunders Jr.	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

113.3Offensive Efficiency109.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency113.3

4.3Net Efficiency-4.3

56.9%Effective FG%47.5%

58.9%True Shooting %52.6%

14.5%Turnover Rate14.2%

32.8%Free Throw Rate47.5%

39.7%3-Point Rate35.6%

0.90Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Long Beach State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.