Merrimack

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.3%Merrimack

91.7%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -16.7

PROJECTED TOTAL137.6

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -1105

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMerrimack 60

Projected Total137.6

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 77

Team Comparison

MerrimackMetricSaint Mary's

53.7MMH Power Index70.7

106.4Offensive Efficiency116.7

103.2Defensive Efficiency97.4

3.2Net Efficiency19.3

0.7Strength of Schedule3.0

12.9Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

64.4Tempo66.3

49.3%Effective FG%53.1%

14.8%Turnover Rate16.6%

24.7%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

39.5%Free Throw Rate36.8%

2.1Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–53.7), offensive efficiency (116.7–106.4), defensive efficiency (97.4–103.2), net efficiency (19.3–3.2).

Merrimack COUNTERS WITHball security (14.8–16.6), free throw rate (39.5–36.8).

Final

Merrimack

68—73

Saint Mary's

Saint Mary's by 5 • 60.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MerrimackTEAM STATSaint Mary's

25-50FG26-57

50.0%FG%46.0%

12-213PT5-12

57.0%3PT%42.0%

6-6FT16-19

100.0%FT%84.0%

18Rebounds39

3Offensive Rebounds17

17Assists19

11Turnovers11

6Steals6

1Blocks3

18Fouls11

Player Box Score

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean Trumper	Forward	38	5-11	3-6	0-0	4	4	1	0	13
Adam Clark	G	35	6-13	0-1	0-0	4	8	1	0	12
Devon Savage	Guard	30	4-7	4-5	0-0	2	0	1	1	12
Matt Becht	Guard	30	4-7	4-7	0-0	2	2	1	0	12
Malik Edmead	G	15	2-5	0-0	6-6	2	2	1	0	10
David Murray	Forward	21	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Tye Dorset	G	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Armandas Plintauskas	Guard	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mitchell Saxen	Center	35	6-13	0-0	6-7	12	1	2	2	18
Paulius Murauskas	F	31	5-10	1-1	7-8	11	4	3	0	18
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	40	6-12	2-4	2-3	2	4	0	1	16
Luke Barrett	Forward	35	4-7	1-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	9
Jordan Ross	G	36	2-7	1-2	0-0	2	5	0	0	5
Andrew McKeever	C	5	2-2	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Ashton Hardaway	F	9	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	0	2
Mikey Lewis	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.5Possessions60.5

112.4Offensive Efficiency120.7

120.7Defensive Efficiency112.4

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

62.0%Effective FG%50.0%

64.3%True Shooting %55.3%

18.1%Turnover Rate18.3%

12.0%Free Throw Rate33.3%

42.0%3-Point Rate21.1%

1.55Assist / Turnover1.73

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 60.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.