Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.8%Cincinnati

58.2%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL142.1

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -139

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 70

Projected Total142.1

Projected ScoreDayton 72

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricDayton

61.5MMH Power Index59.9

105.3Offensive Efficiency108.5

97.3Defensive Efficiency101.5

8.0Net Efficiency7.0

5.1Strength of Schedule5.7

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

69.4Tempo68.3

50.6%Effective FG%52.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.9%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

30.7%Free Throw Rate47.6%

5.5Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–59.9), defensive efficiency (97.3–101.5), net efficiency (8.0–7.0), recent form (14.4–6.4).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.5–105.3), strength of schedule (5.7–5.1), shooting efficiency (52.0–50.6).

Final

Cincinnati

66—59

Dayton

Cincinnati by 7 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATDayton

21-58FG20-51

36.0%FG%39.0%

8-293PT5-18

28.0%3PT%28.0%

16-21FT14-15

76.0%FT%93.0%

38Rebounds32

17Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists8

11Turnovers17

9Steals6

6Blocks3

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	27	5-12	0-4	5-5	5	1	4	1	15
Jizzle James	G	28	5-9	4-6	0-0	3	3	0	3	14
Simas Lukosius	Guard	34	4-17	3-12	2-2	6	1	0	0	13
Day Day Thomas	G	22	1-4	0-2	5-6	3	1	2	0	7
Dillon Mitchell	F	30	3-4	0-0	0-2	8	1	2	1	6
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	25	1-4	0-0	4-4	3	1	0	1	6
Tyler Betsey	F	8	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Arrinten Page	F	14	1-3	0-0	0-2	4	2	1	0	2
Connor Hickman	G	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Santos	Forward	38	5-12	1-4	2-2	5	2	0	0	13
Malachi Smith	G	33	4-12	2-5	3-3	3	5	1	0	13
Zed Key	Forward	30	4-6	0-0	3-4	6	0	1	1	11
Posh Alexander	Guard	25	4-7	1-2	2-2	2	1	3	0	11
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	39	2-6	1-4	0-0	6	0	0	1	5
Javon Bennett	G	20	1-6	0-2	2-2	1	0	1	1	4
Amaël L'Etang	F	12	0-2	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	2
Jaiun Simon	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jacob Conner	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Jack	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

103.8Offensive Efficiency92.8

92.8Defensive Efficiency103.8

11.0Net Efficiency-11.0

43.1%Effective FG%44.1%

48.5%True Shooting %50.8%

17.7%Turnover Rate26.1%

36.2%Free Throw Rate29.4%

50.0%3-Point Rate35.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.47

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.