UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.9%UConn

19.1%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -424

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 80

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreButler 71

Team Comparison

UConnMetricButler

70.2MMH Power Index52.7

116.3Offensive Efficiency111.7

98.4Defensive Efficiency109.1

17.9Net Efficiency2.6

6.3Strength of Schedule3.1

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

66.2Tempo71.1

55.0%Effective FG%51.2%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

30.7%Free Throw Rate42.9%

11.8Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–52.7), offensive efficiency (116.3–111.7), defensive efficiency (98.4–109.1), net efficiency (17.9–2.6).

Butler COUNTERS WITHball security (15.9–16.4), free throw rate (42.9–30.7).

Final

UConn

78—74

Butler

UConn by 4 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATButler

27-60FG23-54

45.0%FG%43.0%

11-243PT5-15

46.0%3PT%33.0%

13-16FT23-28

81.0%FT%82.0%

31Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds7

18Assists14

8Turnovers8

5Steals6

3Blocks5

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Karaban	F	35	7-16	4-9	3-3	6	0	1	1	21
Liam McNeeley	Forward	37	5-13	3-3	4-5	5	7	0	0	17
Hassan Diarra	Guard	32	4-8	2-3	2-2	4	7	3	1	12
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	23	2-4	0-0	3-4	6	0	0	0	7
Aidan Mahaney	G	10	3-4	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	7
Samson Johnson	Center	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	6
Solo Ball	G	26	2-8	0-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Jayden Ross	F	14	1-2	1-2	1-2	3	1	0	0	4
Jaylin Stewart	F	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Youssouf Singare	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	35	6-12	1-3	4-4	2	1	1	1	17
Andre Screen	Center	28	4-7	0-0	9-9	10	1	0	4	17
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	30	4-8	1-3	4-4	2	1	1	0	13
Kolby King	G	28	2-5	0-1	5-8	8	1	1	0	9
Landon Moore	G	17	3-5	1-2	1-3	1	1	1	0	8
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	39	3-12	1-3	0-0	6	7	1	0	7
Boden Kapke	F	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Finley Bizjack	G	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

114.0Offensive Efficiency108.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency114.0

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

54.2%Effective FG%47.2%

57.7%True Shooting %55.0%

11.7%Turnover Rate11.7%

26.7%Free Throw Rate51.9%

40.0%3-Point Rate27.8%

2.25Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

UConn won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.