North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.4%North Carolina

56.6%UCLA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCLA -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUCLA -130

UCLA

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 75

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreUCLA 77

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricUCLA

65.2MMH Power Index63

115.5Offensive Efficiency115.9

103.8Defensive Efficiency106.9

11.7Net Efficiency9.0

7.6Strength of Schedule5.1

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

69.0Tempo66.5

54.6%Effective FG%53.5%

13.9%Turnover Rate13.4%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

38.1%Free Throw Rate33.8%

8.1Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–63.0), defensive efficiency (103.8–106.9), net efficiency (11.7–9.0), strength of schedule (7.6–5.1).

UCLA COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.9–115.5), recent form (8.0–-1.8), ball security (13.4–13.9).

Final

North Carolina

76—74

UCLA

North Carolina by 2 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATUCLA

22-47FG26-53

47.0%FG%49.0%

8-233PT9-18

35.0%3PT%50.0%

24-35FT13-22

69.0%FT%59.0%

34Rebounds28

9Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists17

18Turnovers15

4Steals10

4Blocks1

22Fouls25

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Jackson	G	32	8-13	3-7	5-8	4	0	0	0	24
RJ Davis	Guard	36	5-12	2-7	5-6	4	2	0	0	17
Seth Trimble	G	31	2-10	1-6	7-8	4	2	2	2	12
Elliot Cadeau	G	28	2-5	1-2	3-5	2	5	0	0	8
Drake Powell	Guard	24	2-2	1-1	3-4	5	1	0	1	8
Jalen Washington	C	12	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	1	2
Ty Claude	Forward	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Cade Tyson	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Bilodeau	F	24	9-14	5-6	3-7	3	1	0	1	26
Sebastian Mack	G	27	6-11	3-4	7-8	1	3	2	0	22
Skyy Clark	G	25	4-7	1-3	0-2	0	4	2	0	9
Lazar Stefanovic	Guard	24	2-3	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	0	6
William Kyle III	F	12	3-4	0-0	0-1	6	0	0	0	6
Dylan Andrews	G	32	1-6	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Eric Dailey Jr.	G	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	1	0	2
Aday Mara	C	4	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Kobe Johnson	Guard	33	0-3	0-2	0-0	6	3	3	0	0
Trent Perry	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Dominick Harris	G	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

105.4Offensive Efficiency102.6

102.6Defensive Efficiency105.4

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

55.3%Effective FG%57.5%

59.7%True Shooting %58.3%

24.8%Turnover Rate21.0%

74.5%Free Throw Rate41.5%

48.9%3-Point Rate34.0%

0.61Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.