Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.6%Mississippi State

70.4%Memphis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMemphis -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL159.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMemphis -238

Memphis

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 76

Projected Total159.0

Projected ScoreMemphis 83

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricMemphis

44.6MMH Power Index47.8

107.4Offensive Efficiency104.6

113.2Defensive Efficiency106.5

-5.8Net Efficiency-1.9

5.0Strength of Schedule4.4

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.1

72.3Tempo71.9

51.6%Effective FG%48.7%

16.1%Turnover Rate18.9%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

30.9%Free Throw Rate35.1%

-4.2Average Margin-1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Memphis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMemphis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.8–44.6), defensive efficiency (106.5–113.2), net efficiency (-1.9–-5.8), recent form (-11.1–-17.5).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.4–104.6), strength of schedule (5.0–4.4), shooting efficiency (51.6–48.7).

Final

Mississippi State

79—66

Memphis

Mississippi State by 13 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATMemphis

31-70FG19-53

44.0%FG%36.0%

10-273PT8-27

37.0%3PT%30.0%

7-10FT20-26

70.0%FT%77.0%

46Rebounds32

19Offensive Rebounds11

18Assists11

16Turnovers18

15Steals9

3Blocks2

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Kugel	G	26	8-13	3-7	0-0	4	2	1	0	19
KeShawn Murphy	F	34	6-14	1-3	0-0	9	3	4	2	13
Josh Hubbard	G	31	5-12	3-8	0-0	4	1	0	0	13
Cameron Matthews	Forward	29	5-6	0-0	2-4	9	6	1	0	12
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	21	2-4	0-1	5-6	5	1	1	1	9
RJ Melendez	Forward	16	3-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	3	0	7
Claudell Harris Jr.	Guard	27	2-12	2-5	0-0	8	3	5	0	6
Mike Nwoko	F	6	0-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
MJ Russell	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Gai Chol	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dellquan Warren	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jeremy Foumena	C	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Harrison Alexander	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Memphis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
P.J. Haggerty	G	37	7-13	2-4	8-11	4	0	2	0	24
Tyrese Hunter	Guard	37	6-15	4-9	3-3	4	3	2	0	19
PJ Carter	G	20	2-5	1-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Nick Jourdain	Forward	35	1-6	1-5	3-4	5	2	1	2	6
Dain Dainja	Forward	25	2-4	0-0	2-2	9	2	2	0	6
Colby Rogers	Guard	25	0-8	0-4	2-2	2	1	1	0	2
Baraka Okojie	G	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Moussa Cisse	Center	12	0-0	0-0	0-2	5	0	0	0	0
Damarien Yates	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

109.6Offensive Efficiency91.5

91.5Defensive Efficiency109.6

18.0Net Efficiency-18.0

51.4%Effective FG%43.4%

52.8%True Shooting %50.5%

22.3%Turnover Rate24.9%

14.3%Free Throw Rate49.1%

38.6%3-Point Rate50.9%

1.13Assist / Turnover0.61

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.