San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%San Diego State

52.7%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -111

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 75

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreCalifornia 76

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricCalifornia

60.1MMH Power Index56.5

110.3Offensive Efficiency111.8

99.3Defensive Efficiency104.8

11.0Net Efficiency7.0

3.8Strength of Schedule2.8

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

70.8Tempo69.9

53.2%Effective FG%52.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate14.9%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

39.6%Free Throw Rate36.8%

7.8Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–56.5), defensive efficiency (99.3–104.8), net efficiency (11.0–7.0), strength of schedule (3.8–2.8).

California COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.8–110.3), recent form (1.8–0.4), ball security (14.9–17.2).

Final

San Diego State

71—50

California

San Diego State by 21 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATCalifornia

25-67FG14-55

37.0%FG%25.0%

9-263PT5-24

35.0%3PT%21.0%

12-15FT17-21

80.0%FT%81.0%

49Rebounds39

21Offensive Rebounds16

6Assists4

13Turnovers18

13Steals8

9Blocks7

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Boyd	G	25	6-13	5-8	0-0	3	1	4	0	17
Miles Byrd	G	26	3-10	2-6	4-4	5	3	1	2	12
BJ Davis	G	23	5-11	2-4	0-0	4	0	2	0	12
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	21	4-7	0-0	2-4	0	0	2	1	10
Magoon Gwath	F	23	1-5	0-1	4-4	10	1	0	3	6
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	22	2-8	0-2	0-0	6	0	1	1	4
Taj DeGourville	G	18	1-6	0-2	2-2	4	1	3	0	4
Pharaoh Compton	F	12	2-3	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	1	4
Miles Heide	F	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Kimo Ferrari	Guard	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Desai Lopez	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Schwarz	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cam Lawin	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	23	3-11	0-7	7-9	6	2	0	0	13
Andrej Stojakovic	G	25	2-12	2-6	4-4	2	0	3	3	10
DeJuan Campbell	G	20	3-8	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	7
Mady Sissoko	Center	25	2-5	0-0	1-2	11	0	0	2	5
Rytis Petraitis	F	20	2-3	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	5
Christian Tucker	Guard	19	1-3	1-1	0-0	0	1	2	0	3
Spencer Mahoney	F	16	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	21	0-6	0-3	2-2	0	0	1	0	2
Devin Curtis	F	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Lee Dort	F	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Vladimir Pavlovic	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

106.6Offensive Efficiency75.1

75.1Defensive Efficiency106.6

31.5Net Efficiency-31.5

44.0%Effective FG%30.0%

47.9%True Shooting %38.5%

19.7%Turnover Rate26.9%

22.4%Free Throw Rate38.2%

38.8%3-Point Rate43.6%

0.46Assist / Turnover0.22

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.