Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.8%Gonzaga

27.2%UCLA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -268

UCLA

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 79

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreUCLA 72

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricUCLA

76.4MMH Power Index63

119.7Offensive Efficiency115.9

94.0Defensive Efficiency106.9

25.7Net Efficiency9.0

3.0Strength of Schedule5.1

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

70.4Tempo66.5

55.7%Effective FG%53.5%

13.6%Turnover Rate13.4%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

31.5%Free Throw Rate33.8%

18.1Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–63.0), offensive efficiency (119.7–115.9), defensive efficiency (94.0–106.9), net efficiency (25.7–9.0).

UCLA COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–3.0), ball security (13.4–13.6), free throw rate (33.8–31.5).

Final

Gonzaga

62—65

UCLA

UCLA by 3 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATUCLA

25-55FG20-55

45.0%FG%36.0%

7-243PT12-24

29.0%3PT%50.0%

5-8FT13-18

63.0%FT%72.0%

32Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists16

15Turnovers14

3Steals9

2Blocks3

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Graham Ike	F	31	11-16	1-1	1-1	8	2	0	0	24
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	40	7-12	2-4	0-1	4	8	0	0	16
Nolan Hickman	Guard	31	2-6	2-6	0-0	3	4	0	0	6
Ben Gregg	Forward	20	1-5	0-4	4-6	4	1	0	1	6
Khalif Battle	Guard	13	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Emmanuel Innocenti	F	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Braden Huff	F	9	1-6	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Dusty Stromer	G	30	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Michael Ajayi	F	20	0-2	0-1	0-0	5	1	2	0	0

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dailey Jr.	G	26	5-10	4-5	4-6	6	2	4	0	18
Kobe Johnson	Guard	27	4-6	4-6	0-0	8	1	1	1	12
Skyy Clark	G	35	3-5	1-1	4-4	9	7	1	0	11
Lazar Stefanovic	Guard	22	4-8	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	10
Tyler Bilodeau	F	38	2-10	1-4	2-2	5	2	2	0	7
Sebastian Mack	G	22	1-7	0-1	2-5	3	2	0	0	4
Trent Perry	G	5	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	0	1	0	3
Dylan Andrews	G	17	0-5	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Aday Mara	C	8	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

94.4Offensive Efficiency98.9

98.9Defensive Efficiency94.4

-4.6Net Efficiency4.6

51.8%Effective FG%47.3%

52.7%True Shooting %51.1%

22.8%Turnover Rate21.4%

14.5%Free Throw Rate32.7%

43.6%3-Point Rate43.6%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

UCLA won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.