Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.9%Utah State

47.1%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -112

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 76

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 77

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricSan Diego State

65.7MMH Power Index60.1

119.7Offensive Efficiency110.3

103.1Defensive Efficiency99.3

16.6Net Efficiency11.0

3.5Strength of Schedule3.8

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

68.6Tempo70.8

56.9%Effective FG%53.2%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate39.6%

11.4Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–110.3), net efficiency (16.6–11.0), shooting efficiency (56.9–53.2).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.3–103.1), strength of schedule (3.8–3.5), recent form (0.4–0.3).

Final

Utah State

67—66

San Diego State

Utah State by 1 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATSan Diego State

22-50FG20-52

44.0%FG%38.0%

8-283PT6-24

29.0%3PT%25.0%

15-21FT20-22

71.0%FT%91.0%

27Rebounds31

5Offensive Rebounds8

16Assists11

15Turnovers16

12Steals11

1Blocks2

24Fouls17

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Martinez	Guard	31	5-13	2-9	5-5	5	1	0	0	17
Mason Falslev	G	36	6-13	2-5	2-5	4	4	5	0	16
Tucker Anderson	F	22	4-8	4-7	2-2	2	0	1	0	14
Deyton Albury	G	21	4-5	0-0	3-3	5	1	1	0	11
Karson Templin	F	23	3-7	0-3	0-2	6	3	0	1	6
Aubin Gateretse	Center	15	0-0	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	0	3
Jordy Barnes	G	22	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	7	3	0	0
Dexter Akanno	Guard	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Isaac Johnson	C	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Isaac Davis	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Boyd	G	33	3-10	1-6	7-8	5	1	3	0	14
Miles Byrd	G	23	3-7	2-5	6-6	2	3	2	0	14
Pharaoh Compton	F	14	3-5	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	8
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	23	2-9	1-4	2-2	3	0	0	0	7
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	22	2-4	0-1	3-4	5	0	0	1	7
Taj DeGourville	G	22	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	2	3	0	6
Magoon Gwath	F	27	2-7	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	1	4
BJ Davis	G	26	2-7	0-5	0-0	3	4	2	0	4
Miles Heide	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

95.3Offensive Efficiency93.9

93.9Defensive Efficiency95.3

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

52.0%Effective FG%44.2%

55.9%True Shooting %52.8%

21.4%Turnover Rate22.7%

42.0%Free Throw Rate42.3%

56.0%3-Point Rate46.2%

1.07Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

Utah State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.