Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.8%Toledo

89.2%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -14.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.1

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -826

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 72

Projected Total158.1

Projected ScorePurdue 86

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricPurdue

58.8MMH Power Index73.2

116.0Offensive Efficiency124.8

109.6Defensive Efficiency107.8

6.4Net Efficiency17.0

2.3Strength of Schedule7.6

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

69.8Tempo65.4

55.1%Effective FG%57.8%

14.6%Turnover Rate13.7%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

30.3%Free Throw Rate29.1%

4.5Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–58.8), offensive efficiency (124.8–116.0), defensive efficiency (107.8–109.6), net efficiency (17.0–6.4).

Toledo COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (30.3–29.1).

Final

Toledo

64—83

Purdue

Purdue by 19 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATPurdue

26-64FG31-63

41.0%FG%49.0%

2-143PT10-28

14.0%3PT%36.0%

10-16FT11-15

63.0%FT%73.0%

40Rebounds33

17Offensive Rebounds12

7Assists22

14Turnovers8

5Steals9

1Blocks2

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	35	6-11	0-2	1-1	4	2	1	0	13
Sam Lewis	G	33	4-13	2-3	3-4	11	0	0	0	13
Seth Hubbard	G	24	5-15	0-4	1-1	6	0	0	0	11
Javan Simmons	F	19	3-4	0-0	3-5	4	1	0	0	9
Isaiah Adams	Guard	26	3-11	0-3	0-0	3	3	2	0	6
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	21	2-3	0-0	2-2	5	0	1	0	6
Grgur Brcic	C	21	3-4	0-0	0-3	5	0	0	1	6
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Bryce Ford	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Smith	G	39	12-22	6-13	4-4	4	12	3	0	34
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	28	11-14	0-1	1-4	6	2	1	0	23
Fletcher Loyer	G	33	5-11	4-7	3-3	3	3	1	0	17
Gicarri Harris	G	12	2-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	4
Caleb Furst	Forward	21	0-2	0-0	2-2	5	0	1	0	2
C.J. Cox	G	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	2	0	2
Raleigh Burgess	F	15	0-2	0-1	1-2	4	2	0	1	1
Myles Colvin	G	19	0-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Camden Heide	F	17	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Sam King	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brian Waddell	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

95.0Offensive Efficiency123.1

123.1Defensive Efficiency95.0

-28.2Net Efficiency28.2

42.2%Effective FG%57.1%

44.7%True Shooting %59.2%

20.4%Turnover Rate12.1%

25.0%Free Throw Rate23.8%

21.9%3-Point Rate44.4%

0.50Assist / Turnover2.75

Game Summary

Purdue won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.