Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

88.9%Iowa State

11.1%Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -13.2

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -801

Colorado

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 85

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreColorado 72

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricColorado

75.9MMH Power Index52.7

119.3Offensive Efficiency112.9

96.0Defensive Efficiency112.4

23.3Net Efficiency0.5

4.9Strength of Schedule5.1

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

68.4Tempo71.0

56.1%Effective FG%53.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate14.6%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

35.2%Free Throw Rate37.9%

15.9Average Margin0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–52.7), offensive efficiency (119.3–112.9), defensive efficiency (96.0–112.4), net efficiency (23.3–0.5).

Colorado COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–4.9), ball security (14.6–15.0), free throw rate (37.9–35.2).

Final

Iowa State

79—69

Colorado

Iowa State by 10 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATColorado

29-68FG28-57

43.0%FG%49.0%

4-183PT7-22

22.0%3PT%32.0%

17-22FT6-8

77.0%FT%75.0%

40Rebounds33

20Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists18

9Turnovers19

13Steals7

3Blocks5

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Curtis Jones	Guard	29	5-16	2-7	8-8	3	0	1	0	20
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	31	6-10	0-1	2-2	2	3	0	0	14
Joshua Jefferson	F	28	6-12	0-1	1-1	7	2	8	1	13
Tamin Lipsey	G	32	4-10	1-4	1-2	2	1	2	0	10
Brandton Chatfield	Forward	20	3-4	0-0	3-7	7	0	0	2	9
Dishon Jackson	C	16	3-5	0-0	2-2	6	1	1	0	8
Milan Momcilovic	F	27	2-9	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Nate Heise	G	17	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julian Hammond III	Guard	34	9-17	3-7	0-0	4	4	0	0	21
RJ Smith	G	33	5-10	3-6	1-2	2	1	1	1	14
Javon Ruffin	G	18	4-7	0-2	1-1	0	2	0	0	9
Trevor Baskin	Forward	23	3-6	0-0	2-3	4	4	1	0	8
Elijah Malone	C	23	3-6	0-2	0-0	2	1	3	0	6
Assane Diop	F	18	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	0	4
Bangot Dak	F	18	2-5	0-1	0-0	8	5	1	2	4
Sebastian Rancik	F	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	4	0	1	2	3
Harrison Carrington	F	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Felix Kossaras	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

115.8Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency115.8

14.7Net Efficiency-14.7

45.6%Effective FG%55.3%

50.4%True Shooting %56.7%

13.3%Turnover Rate27.6%

32.4%Free Throw Rate14.0%

26.5%3-Point Rate38.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.95

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.