Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.9%Cincinnati

25.1%Kansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -298

Kansas State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 80

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreKansas State 73

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricKansas State

61.5MMH Power Index47.1

105.3Offensive Efficiency107.8

97.3Defensive Efficiency110.9

8.0Net Efficiency-3.1

5.1Strength of Schedule5.5

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

69.4Tempo73.8

50.6%Effective FG%53.5%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.4%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

30.7%Free Throw Rate27.4%

5.5Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–47.1), defensive efficiency (97.3–110.9), net efficiency (8.0–-3.1), recent form (14.4–-14.3).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.8–105.3), strength of schedule (5.5–5.1), shooting efficiency (53.5–50.6).

Final

Cincinnati

67—70

Kansas State

Kansas State by 3 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATKansas State

28-60FG24-55

47.0%FG%44.0%

7-193PT6-20

37.0%3PT%30.0%

4-7FT16-20

57.0%FT%80.0%

36Rebounds30

10Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists14

15Turnovers11

8Steals7

2Blocks2

16Fouls8

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	32	7-15	4-8	0-0	2	1	1	0	18
Dillon Mitchell	F	27	6-12	2-3	1-2	11	0	2	0	15
Jizzle James	G	26	5-9	0-2	1-1	4	4	1	0	11
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	29	4-7	0-0	1-2	9	0	1	2	9
Day Day Thomas	G	27	4-8	1-2	0-0	4	3	1	0	9
Simas Lukosius	Guard	31	2-6	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Arrinten Page	F	8	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	1	0	1
Connor Hickman	G	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Tyler Betsey	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	36	7-13	3-5	3-4	10	3	4	0	20
Dug McDaniel	G	33	7-13	1-4	2-3	2	2	0	0	17
David N'Guessan	Guard	36	5-8	0-0	3-5	7	1	1	1	13
C.J. Jones	G	18	2-3	1-1	4-4	1	2	1	0	9
Max Jones	Guard	30	2-6	0-1	4-4	5	0	1	1	8
Brendan Hausen	G	25	1-9	1-8	0-0	0	4	0	0	3
David Castillo	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Macaleab Rich	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mobi Ikegwuruka	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

98.0Offensive Efficiency102.3

102.3Defensive Efficiency98.0

-4.4Net Efficiency4.4

52.5%Effective FG%49.1%

52.9%True Shooting %54.3%

22.0%Turnover Rate16.1%

11.7%Free Throw Rate36.4%

31.7%3-Point Rate36.4%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Kansas State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.