Virginia Tech

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.0%Virginia Tech

96.0%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -21.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -2400

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia Tech 65

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreDuke 86

Team Comparison

Virginia TechMetricDuke

57.7MMH Power Index81.7

112.8Offensive Efficiency122.2

107.2Defensive Efficiency95.2

5.6Net Efficiency27.0

5.8Strength of Schedule7.8

-3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

69.8Tempo66.8

52.3%Effective FG%56.9%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.9%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

34.7%Free Throw Rate39.0%

3.9Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–57.7), offensive efficiency (122.2–112.8), defensive efficiency (95.2–107.2), net efficiency (27.0–5.6).

Virginia Tech COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–15.9).

Final

Virginia Tech

65—88

Duke

Duke by 23 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Virginia TechTEAM STATDuke

23-50FG31-58

46.0%FG%53.0%

8-213PT11-29

38.0%3PT%38.0%

11-15FT15-15

73.0%FT%100.0%

22Rebounds35

5Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists19

12Turnovers9

5Steals7

—Blocks4

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Virginia Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tobi Lawal	F	22	7-9	3-4	2-4	5	0	0	19
Patrick Wessler	F	19	3-5	0-0	4-6	2	0	1	10
Ben Burnham	Forward	18	4-7	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	9
Rodney Brown Jr.	G	24	3-6	2-3	0-0	1	4	1	8
Jaydon Young	G	19	1-3	1-3	3-3	2	0	2	6
Mylyjael Poteat	Forward	17	2-6	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	6
Jaden Schutt	G	23	1-6	1-6	0-0	1	0	1	3
Ben Hammond	G	22	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	2
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	18	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	4	0	2
Tyler Johnson	G	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0
Connor Serven	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Flagg	Forward	30	9-14	2-4	4-4	3	6	4	1	24
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	30	4-9	1-5	4-4	2	5	1	0	13
Kon Knueppel	Guard	25	4-10	2-7	3-3	2	0	0	0	13
Isaiah Evans	G	17	4-7	4-7	0-0	4	2	0	0	12
Sion James	Guard	26	5-7	0-1	0-0	11	2	1	0	10
Mason Gillis	Forward	10	3-5	2-4	2-2	2	1	0	0	10
Caleb Foster	G	19	0-2	0-0	2-2	3	2	1	0	2
Maliq Brown	F	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Khaman Maluach	Center	15	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	3	2
Patrick Ngongba II	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Darren Harris	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

101.4Offensive Efficiency137.3

137.3Defensive Efficiency101.4

-35.9Net Efficiency35.9

54.0%Effective FG%62.9%

56.9%True Shooting %67.6%

18.7%Turnover Rate14.0%

30.0%Free Throw Rate25.9%

42.0%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.17Assist / Turnover2.11

Game Summary

Duke won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.