Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.5%Northern Kentucky

93.5%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -16.4

PROJECTED TOTAL160.1

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -1438

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 72

Projected Total160.1

Projected ScorePurdue 88

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricPurdue

53.9MMH Power Index73.2

114.9Offensive Efficiency124.8

107.1Defensive Efficiency107.8

7.8Net Efficiency17.0

-2.9Strength of Schedule7.6

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

72.3Tempo65.4

54.5%Effective FG%57.8%

16.3%Turnover Rate13.7%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

37.1%Free Throw Rate29.1%

5.7Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–53.9), offensive efficiency (124.8–114.9), net efficiency (17.0–7.8), strength of schedule (7.6–-2.9).

Northern Kentucky COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.1–107.8), free throw rate (37.1–29.1).

Final

Northern Kentucky

50—72

Purdue

Purdue by 22 • 62.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATPurdue

17-57FG27-51

30.0%FG%53.0%

5-233PT9-22

22.0%3PT%41.0%

11-14FT9-14

79.0%FT%64.0%

33Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists19

13Turnovers13

8Steals8

1Blocks2

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Vinson	Guard	28	3-7	1-2	1-2	6	2	3	0	8
Trey Robinson	Guard	26	1-4	0-1	6-6	6	1	0	0	8
Keeyan Itejere	F	20	4-7	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	8
Josh Dilling	Guard	31	3-13	1-7	0-0	5	3	1	0	7
Dan Gherezgher	G	26	1-9	1-4	2-2	3	3	0	0	5
LJ Wells	F	20	1-5	1-4	2-2	4	0	1	0	5
Paulius Rapolis	Forward	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	4
Hubertas Pivorius	Guard	14	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Randall Pettus II	G	17	1-4	0-2	0-2	2	1	2	0	2
Cesar Tchilombo	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fletcher Loyer	G	28	6-9	4-5	0-1	1	4	1	1	16
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	24	4-5	0-0	6-8	5	2	0	0	14
Braden Smith	G	32	4-9	3-7	0-0	2	7	2	0	11
Caleb Furst	Forward	12	4-6	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Will Berg	C	17	3-4	0-0	1-1	7	0	0	0	7
Gicarri Harris	G	21	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	4	0	0	5
Myles Colvin	G	21	2-6	1-5	0-0	2	1	2	0	5
Raleigh Burgess	F	12	2-5	0-0	0-2	5	0	0	1	4
Camden Heide	F	16	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
C.J. Cox	G	16	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	3	0	0
Daniel Jacobsen	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.2Possessions62.2

80.4Offensive Efficiency115.8

115.8Defensive Efficiency80.4

-35.4Net Efficiency35.4

34.2%Effective FG%61.8%

39.3%True Shooting %62.4%

21.1%Turnover Rate20.8%

24.6%Free Throw Rate27.5%

40.4%3-Point Rate43.1%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.46

Game Summary

Purdue won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 62.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.