Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.0%Michigan State

48.0%Ohio State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -108

Ohio State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 76

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreOhio State 76

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricOhio State

69.8MMH Power Index64.5

117.0Offensive Efficiency118.1

101.5Defensive Efficiency108.1

15.5Net Efficiency10.0

7.2Strength of Schedule6.4

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency6.3

67.3Tempo67.2

54.1%Effective FG%56.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

36.6%Free Throw Rate38.3%

10.5Average Margin6.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–64.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–108.1), net efficiency (15.5–10.0), strength of schedule (7.2–6.4).

Ohio State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.1–117.0), shooting efficiency (56.9–54.1), ball security (15.3–17.2).

Final

Michigan State

69—62

Ohio State

Michigan State by 7 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATOhio State

24-55FG22-60

44.0%FG%37.0%

3-183PT7-27

17.0%3PT%26.0%

18-22FT11-16

82.0%FT%69.0%

34Rebounds33

12Offensive Rebounds15

13Assists9

16Turnovers16

5Steals11

5Blocks2

13Fouls19

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Szymon Zapala	Center	23	7-8	0-0	1-1	2	1	1	2	15
Jaden Akins	Guard	26	4-10	1-4	5-6	2	0	2	0	14
Coen Carr	F	24	2-3	0-0	7-8	3	1	0	1	11
Xavier Booker	F	15	4-8	0-4	1-1	3	1	0	2	9
Jaxon Kohler	F	20	3-5	0-1	2-2	10	1	0	0	8
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	28	2-7	1-2	1-2	6	7	1	0	6
Tre Holloman	G	25	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Jase Richardson	Guard	22	1-5	0-3	1-2	2	1	0	0	3
Frankie Fidler	Forward	9	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Carson Cooper	C	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Parrish	Guard	25	5-9	3-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	13
Bruce Thornton	G	36	3-9	0-5	4-6	3	2	2	0	10
Ques Glover	Guard	24	3-9	2-5	1-2	4	1	0	0	9
Devin Royal	F	29	2-6	0-1	4-6	6	2	2	0	8
John Mobley Jr.	G	24	3-12	2-7	0-0	2	1	2	0	8
Aaron Bradshaw	F	17	3-8	0-3	2-2	3	0	2	1	8
Sean Stewart	F	23	2-4	0-0	0-0	8	1	2	0	4
Evan Mahaffey	G	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	1	2
Colin White	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

99.9Offensive Efficiency89.7

89.7Defensive Efficiency99.9

10.1Net Efficiency-10.1

46.4%Effective FG%42.5%

52.7%True Shooting %45.9%

23.0%Turnover Rate23.3%

40.0%Free Throw Rate26.7%

32.7%3-Point Rate45.0%

0.81Assist / Turnover0.56

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.