Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.4%Arkansas

60.6%Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL164.0

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee -154

Tennessee

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 80

Projected Total164.0

Projected ScoreTennessee 84

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricTennessee

69.3MMH Power Index68.6

122.2Offensive Efficiency115.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency102.1

12.4Net Efficiency13.7

8.6Strength of Schedule7.8

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

73.8Tempo68.1

56.4%Effective FG%51.6%

12.2%Turnover Rate17.3%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %44.5%

36.5%Free Throw Rate38.6%

9.2Average Margin9.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–68.6), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.8), strength of schedule (8.6–7.8), recent form (3.4–3.3).

Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.1–109.8), net efficiency (13.7–12.4), offensive rebounding (44.5–31.8).

Final

Arkansas

52—76

Tennessee

Tennessee by 24 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATTennessee

20-53FG27-69

38.0%FG%39.0%

6-293PT10-26

21.0%3PT%38.0%

6-13FT12-15

46.0%FT%80.0%

29Rebounds51

9Offensive Rebounds24

9Assists18

15Turnovers13

8Steals10

10Blocks1

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
D.J. Wagner	G	37	6-12	1-5	4-5	2	3	0	0	17
Boogie Fland	G	35	5-15	2-9	0-0	3	3	3	0	12
Adou Thiero	Forward	25	3-7	0-2	0-4	5	3	2	2	6
Karter Knox	G	17	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	1	6
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	29	2-3	0-1	0-2	5	0	2	3	4
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	3	3
Trevon Brazile	F	13	0-2	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	1	2
Billy Richmond III	G	10	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Johnell Davis	Guard	25	0-4	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chaz Lanier	Guard	35	10-20	5-9	4-4	2	0	0	0	29
Igor Milicic Jr.	Forward	36	4-11	2-5	3-5	18	5	1	1	13
Zakai Zeigler	Guard	38	4-11	2-5	2-2	5	7	3	0	12
Felix Okpara	F	24	4-8	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	10
Jordan Gainey	Guard	25	3-10	1-6	0-0	5	2	3	0	7
Jahmai Mashack	Guard	22	1-4	0-0	1-2	3	3	3	0	3
Cade Phillips	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Darlinstone Dubar	Guard	8	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Bishop Boswell	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

79.8Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.6Defensive Efficiency79.8

-36.8Net Efficiency36.8

43.4%Effective FG%46.4%

43.9%True Shooting %49.9%

23.0%Turnover Rate20.0%

24.5%Free Throw Rate21.7%

54.7%3-Point Rate37.7%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.