Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.3%Baylor

91.7%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -16.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -1105

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 69

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreIowa State 86

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricIowa State

58.9MMH Power Index75.9

116.7Offensive Efficiency119.3

109.5Defensive Efficiency96.0

7.2Net Efficiency23.3

4.0Strength of Schedule4.9

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

69.7Tempo68.4

54.4%Effective FG%56.1%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

34.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

5.1Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–58.9), offensive efficiency (119.3–116.7), defensive efficiency (96.0–109.5), net efficiency (23.3–7.2).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (37.5–35.5).

Final

Baylor

55—74

Iowa State

Iowa State by 19 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATIowa State

19-64FG24-49

30.0%FG%49.0%

7-293PT10-21

24.0%3PT%48.0%

10-14FT16-24

71.0%FT%67.0%

35Rebounds42

13Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists19

8Turnovers12

9Steals6

2Blocks5

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremy Roach	Guard	37	5-14	4-7	2-2	1	3	1	0	16
Josh Ojianwuna	F	32	5-6	0-1	3-5	10	1	3	1	13
Robert Wright III	G	28	4-17	1-6	1-2	1	1	0	0	10
Norchad Omier	Forward	27	3-11	1-7	2-3	10	2	0	0	9
VJ Edgecombe	Guard	36	1-9	0-3	2-2	7	4	4	0	4
Jayden Nunn	Guard	31	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Jason Asemota	F	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	36	5-10	2-3	4-6	10	5	1	0	16
Milan Momcilovic	F	30	4-7	4-7	3-4	4	1	0	1	15
Curtis Jones	Guard	28	6-13	2-5	0-0	3	2	4	0	14
Joshua Jefferson	F	28	2-5	0-1	3-4	5	8	0	0	7
Brandton Chatfield	Forward	16	2-2	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	3	7
Tamin Lipsey	G	24	2-6	2-4	0-0	1	2	1	0	6
Dishon Jackson	C	18	1-2	0-0	3-4	10	0	0	1	5
Nate Heise	G	20	2-4	0-1	0-2	4	1	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

84.5Offensive Efficiency113.7

113.7Defensive Efficiency84.5

-29.2Net Efficiency29.2

35.2%Effective FG%59.2%

38.9%True Shooting %61.3%

12.2%Turnover Rate18.6%

21.9%Free Throw Rate49.0%

45.3%3-Point Rate42.9%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.58

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.