Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.2%Providence

90.8%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -16.2

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -987

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 71

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreUConn 88

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricUConn

54.2MMH Power Index70.2

115.0Offensive Efficiency116.3

113.2Defensive Efficiency98.4

1.8Net Efficiency17.9

4.0Strength of Schedule6.3

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

74.2Tempo66.2

55.0%Effective FG%55.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

37.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

1.3Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–54.2), offensive efficiency (116.3–115.0), defensive efficiency (98.4–113.2), net efficiency (17.9–1.8).

Providence COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (37.3–30.7).

Final

Providence

84—87

UConn

UConn by 3 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATUConn

30-60FG27-48

50.0%FG%56.0%

4-133PT6-13

31.0%3PT%46.0%

20-23FT27-32

87.0%FT%84.0%

34Rebounds22

15Offensive Rebounds5

5Assists16

10Turnovers7

3Steals6

4Blocks7

25Fouls16

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Pierre	G	37	8-16	3-8	5-5	3	0	1	0	24
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	28	7-13	0-1	4-5	3	0	1	1	18
Ryan Mela	G	22	4-8	0-0	2-2	6	2	1	0	10
Rich Barron	F	19	3-8	0-1	3-4	2	0	0	0	9
Bensley Joseph	Guard	20	2-6	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	32	3-5	0-0	0-0	9	0	0	3	6
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	29	2-2	0-0	2-2	3	2	0	0	6
Anton Bonke	C	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jabri Abdur-Rahim	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	2-3	0	1	0	0	2

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hassan Diarra	Guard	38	4-8	1-2	10-11	2	8	3	0	19
Solo Ball	G	37	5-9	2-4	4-5	4	2	1	0	16
Aidan Mahaney	G	20	4-5	2-2	5-6	0	0	0	0	15
Alex Karaban	F	39	5-8	1-3	2-3	4	3	0	4	13
Samson Johnson	Center	20	5-9	0-0	0-1	2	1	1	0	10
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	18	3-5	0-0	4-4	5	2	1	3	10
Jaylin Stewart	F	17	1-2	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	4
Jayden Ross	F	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

128.0Offensive Efficiency132.6

132.6Defensive Efficiency128.0

-4.6Net Efficiency4.6

53.3%Effective FG%62.5%

59.2%True Shooting %68.8%

15.2%Turnover Rate10.7%

38.3%Free Throw Rate66.7%

21.7%3-Point Rate27.1%

0.50Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

UConn won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.