UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.7%UConn

33.3%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL146.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -200

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 75

Projected Total146.1

Projected ScoreVillanova 71

Team Comparison

UConnMetricVillanova

70.2MMH Power Index59.4

116.3Offensive Efficiency114.7

98.4Defensive Efficiency105.9

17.9Net Efficiency8.8

6.3Strength of Schedule4.4

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

66.2Tempo67.3

55.0%Effective FG%53.9%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

30.7%Free Throw Rate31.4%

11.8Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–59.4), offensive efficiency (116.3–114.7), defensive efficiency (98.4–105.9), net efficiency (17.9–8.8).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHball security (15.0–16.4), free throw rate (31.4–30.7).

Final

UConn

66—68

Villanova

Villanova by 2 • 58.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATVillanova

27-50FG24-55

54.0%FG%44.0%

10-273PT8-20

37.0%3PT%40.0%

2-4FT12-13

50.0%FT%92.0%

32Rebounds23

8Offensive Rebounds7

23Assists11

13Turnovers6

3Steals5

4Blocks3

16Fouls9

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Solo Ball	G	32	6-14	4-10	0-0	4	4	2	0	16
Jaylin Stewart	F	32	6-9	2-5	0-0	3	2	0	2	14
Hassan Diarra	Guard	30	4-5	1-1	2-2	4	9	1	0	11
Alex Karaban	F	36	4-10	2-7	0-2	3	4	0	0	10
Samson Johnson	Center	21	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	19	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	6
Jayden Ross	F	11	1-2	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Aidan Mahaney	G	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Ahmad Nowell	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	40	6-20	2-8	9-9	1	2	1	1	23
Wooga Poplar	Guard	36	6-10	3-6	3-4	4	0	1	0	18
Jordan Longino	Guard	35	5-9	2-3	0-0	3	1	2	1	12
Jhamir Brickus	Guard	32	3-8	1-2	0-0	4	5	1	0	7
Kris Parker	G	13	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Enoch Boakye	Forward	20	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Tyler Perkins	G	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	1	2
Josiah Moseley	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.6Possessions58.6

112.6Offensive Efficiency116.0

116.0Defensive Efficiency112.6

-3.4Net Efficiency3.4

64.0%Effective FG%50.9%

63.6%True Shooting %55.6%

22.8%Turnover Rate10.0%

8.0%Free Throw Rate23.6%

54.0%3-Point Rate36.4%

1.77Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Villanova won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 58.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.