Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.3%Penn State

98.7%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -28.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -7592

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 63

Projected Total155.1

Projected ScoreIllinois 92

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricIllinois

42.3MMH Power Index76.5

109.2Offensive Efficiency125.0

117.6Defensive Efficiency103.3

-8.4Net Efficiency21.7

5.3Strength of Schedule6.7

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

67.5Tempo66.5

53.4%Effective FG%54.8%

15.6%Turnover Rate13.1%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

34.6%Free Throw Rate33.8%

-5.7Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–42.3), offensive efficiency (125.0–109.2), defensive efficiency (103.3–117.6), net efficiency (21.7–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.6–33.8).

Final

Penn State

52—91

Illinois

Illinois by 39 • 79.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATIllinois

20-65FG34-77

31.0%FG%44.0%

2-123PT10-31

17.0%3PT%32.0%

10-14FT13-16

71.0%FT%81.0%

32Rebounds57

6Offensive Rebounds19

6Assists19

14Turnovers14

9Steals7

7Blocks6

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	26	5-11	0-2	3-6	5	2	2	0	13
Zach Hicks	Forward	34	3-5	1-2	4-4	7	0	2	0	11
Jahvin Carter	G	23	3-9	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	27	3-10	0-3	0-0	6	0	2	7	6
Freddie Dilione V	G	25	3-13	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Dominick Stewart	G	17	1-4	0-1	3-3	1	0	0	0	5
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	18	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Miles Goodman	F	10	1-3	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	2
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	15	0-6	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Kachi Nzeh	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Joe Sedora	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Humrichous	F	23	8-15	5-9	0-0	9	0	1	1	21
Tre White	G	30	7-12	1-2	5-5	7	2	1	0	20
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	20	9-11	0-0	2-5	11	0	0	1	20
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	20	2-9	1-7	4-4	2	1	0	1	9
Will Riley	Forward	29	2-11	1-5	2-2	6	6	1	1	7
Kylan Boswell	G	34	2-8	1-3	0-0	5	6	3	0	5
Tomislav Ivisic	C	24	2-6	0-2	0-0	7	3	1	2	4
Jake Davis	F	12	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Carey Booth	F	3	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Keaton Kutcher	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
AJ Redd	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.7Possessions79.7

65.2Offensive Efficiency114.2

114.2Defensive Efficiency65.2

-48.9Net Efficiency48.9

32.3%Effective FG%50.6%

36.3%True Shooting %53.8%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.6%

21.5%Free Throw Rate20.8%

18.5%3-Point Rate40.3%

0.43Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Illinois won by 39 points. The game played at approximately 79.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.