Ole Miss

15-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.9%Ole Miss

91.1%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -16.0

PROJECTED TOTAL166.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -1024

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOle Miss 75

Projected Total166.3

Projected ScoreArkansas 91

Team Comparison

Ole MissMetricArkansas

53MMH Power Index69.3

109.2Offensive Efficiency122.2

109.5Defensive Efficiency109.8

-0.3Net Efficiency12.4

5.4Strength of Schedule8.6

-2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.5Tempo73.8

50.6%Effective FG%56.4%

14.0%Turnover Rate12.2%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

33.8%Free Throw Rate36.5%

-0.2Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–53.0), offensive efficiency (122.2–109.2), net efficiency (12.4–-0.3), strength of schedule (8.6–5.4).

Ole Miss COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–109.8).

Final

Ole Miss

73—66

Arkansas

Ole Miss by 7 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ole MissTEAM STATArkansas

23-50FG22-59

46.0%FG%37.0%

9-233PT5-23

39.0%3PT%22.0%

18-28FT17-24

64.0%FT%71.0%

36Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists12

5Turnovers6

5Steals2

2Blocks4

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Ole Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Dia	F	28	7-12	2-4	5-9	8	1	0	1	21
Sean Pedulla	Guard	35	4-8	3-4	5-7	1	3	1	0	16
Dre Davis	Guard	20	2-4	0-2	6-8	7	1	1	0	10
Matthew Murrell	Guard	28	3-7	2-5	1-2	4	0	1	0	9
Davon Barnes	Not Available	19	2-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Eduardo Klafke	G	11	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Jaylen Murray	Guard	33	2-9	0-4	0-0	6	6	2	0	4
Jaemyn Brakefield	Forward	22	1-4	0-1	1-2	6	2	0	0	3
John Bol	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adou Thiero	Forward	28	7-12	0-0	3-5	9	2	2	1	17
Johnell Davis	Guard	29	4-9	3-7	4-4	3	1	0	0	15
Boogie Fland	G	37	5-20	1-8	3-5	6	5	0	0	14
D.J. Wagner	G	39	4-13	0-5	3-3	2	0	0	0	11
Karter Knox	G	18	1-2	1-2	1-2	1	1	0	1	4
Trevon Brazile	F	21	1-1	0-0	1-2	7	2	0	1	3
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	17	0-0	0-0	2-3	5	0	0	1	2
Billy Richmond III	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

111.6Offensive Efficiency100.9

100.9Defensive Efficiency111.6

10.7Net Efficiency-10.7

55.0%Effective FG%41.5%

57.7%True Shooting %46.9%

8.0%Turnover Rate8.8%

56.0%Free Throw Rate40.7%

46.0%3-Point Rate39.0%

2.60Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Ole Miss won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.