Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.7%Central Arkansas

85.3%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL156.3

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -580

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 72

Projected Total156.3

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 84

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricNorth Carolina

54MMH Power Index65.2

113.9Offensive Efficiency115.5

105.2Defensive Efficiency103.8

8.7Net Efficiency11.7

-3.9Strength of Schedule7.6

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

71.0Tempo69.0

54.3%Effective FG%54.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate13.9%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

30.7%Free Throw Rate38.1%

6.1Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–54.0), offensive efficiency (115.5–113.9), defensive efficiency (103.8–105.2), net efficiency (11.7–8.7).

Central Arkansas COUNTERS WITHrecent form (9.8–-1.8).

Final

Central Arkansas

54—94

North Carolina

North Carolina by 40 • 75.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATNorth Carolina

20-64FG33-65

31.0%FG%51.0%

8-293PT10-29

28.0%3PT%34.0%

6-9FT18-22

67.0%FT%82.0%

30Rebounds45

10Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists23

17Turnovers12

8Steals13

1Blocks3

22Fouls14

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javion Guy-King	G	14	3-6	2-4	2-2	3	2	0	1	10
Cole McCormick	F	20	4-5	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	9
Rashad Bolden	G	24	3-10	1-3	1-2	5	1	1	0	8
Ty Robinson	G	20	2-9	2-6	2-2	2	2	1	0	8
Camren Hunter	G	23	2-11	1-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	5
Luke Moore	G	20	2-9	1-6	0-0	3	1	3	0	5
Chris Mason	F	13	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Malchiah Marable	F	15	1-3	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	3
Parker Applegate	G	15	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	2
Truman Byrne	F	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Harry Beauchamp	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tyler Lee	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Owen Derhmann	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
J.C. Shulman	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ethan Thomas	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Wilson	F	25	8-10	1-1	5-6	4	3	1	1	22
Kyan Evans	G	25	5-8	4-7	1-2	6	5	4	0	15
Henri Veesaar	C	25	6-9	0-1	2-2	10	1	1	1	14
Seth Trimble	G	24	4-8	0-2	4-4	2	4	2	0	12
Luka Bogavac	G	20	3-9	1-5	3-4	3	5	2	0	10
Jarin Stevenson	F	19	1-4	0-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	5
Jaydon Young	G	6	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Isaiah Denis	G	4	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Jonathan Powell	G	15	1-6	1-6	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Derek Dixon	G	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	6	0	1	0	3
Zayden High	F	11	0-3	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	1	0
James Brown	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
John Holbrook	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ivan Matlekovic	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Evan Smith	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Elijah Davis	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.4Possessions75.4

71.6Offensive Efficiency124.7

124.7Defensive Efficiency71.6

-53.1Net Efficiency53.1

37.5%Effective FG%58.5%

39.5%True Shooting %62.3%

22.6%Turnover Rate15.9%

14.1%Free Throw Rate33.8%

45.3%3-Point Rate44.6%

0.53Assist / Turnover1.92

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 40 points. The game played at approximately 75.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.