Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.7%Villanova

73.3%BYU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBYU -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBYU -275

BYU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 75

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreBYU 82

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricBYU

59.4MMH Power Index63.9

114.7Offensive Efficiency118.3

105.9Defensive Efficiency106.8

8.8Net Efficiency11.5

4.4Strength of Schedule6.5

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

67.3Tempo70.6

53.9%Effective FG%54.7%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.2%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

31.4%Free Throw Rate35.4%

5.9Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

BYU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBYU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–59.4), offensive efficiency (118.3–114.7), net efficiency (11.5–8.8), strength of schedule (6.5–4.4).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.9–106.8), recent form (-1.1–-2.2), ball security (15.0–15.2).

Final

Villanova

66—71

BYU

BYU by 5 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATBYU

24-67FG26-66

36.0%FG%39.0%

10-353PT5-17

29.0%3PT%29.0%

8-15FT14-21

53.0%FT%67.0%

49Rebounds43

17Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists10

11Turnovers4

2Steals4

1Blocks5

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Lindsay	G	27	7-14	5-9	3-5	5	2	0	0	22
Chris Jeffrey	G	16	4-8	1-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	11
Duke Brennan	F	32	4-6	0-0	0-0	15	1	2	0	8
Tyler Perkins	G	25	3-10	1-6	1-4	9	2	0	0	8
Matt Hodge	F	28	3-11	1-7	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Acaden Lewis	G	22	1-6	1-4	2-4	2	3	0	0	5
Malachi Palmer	G	18	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Tafara Gapare	F	17	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Devin Askew	G	12	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Braden Pierce	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

BYU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Dybantsa	F	32	9-18	1-1	2-7	6	3	0	0	21
Richie Saunders	G	29	4-13	1-4	6-6	7	2	2	0	15
Robert Wright III	G	31	5-16	0-3	4-6	3	1	1	0	14
Keba Keita	F	24	4-5	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	3	8
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	34	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Dawson Baker	G	15	1-4	1-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Mihailo Boškovic	F	12	1-5	0-2	0-0	4	3	0	1	2
Khadim Mboup	F	19	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	0
Tyler Mrus	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Xavion Staton	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

96.9Offensive Efficiency104.3

104.3Defensive Efficiency96.9

-7.3Net Efficiency7.3

43.3%Effective FG%43.2%

44.5%True Shooting %46.7%

16.1%Turnover Rate5.9%

22.4%Free Throw Rate31.8%

52.2%3-Point Rate25.8%

1.09Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

BYU won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.