Texas logo

Texas

21-15
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
6.0%Texas
94.0%Duke
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADDuke -18.2
PROJECTED TOTAL154.5
MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -1567
Duke logo

Duke

35-3
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreTexas 68
Projected Total154.5
Projected ScoreDuke 86

Team Comparison

TexasMetricDuke
61.6MMH Power Index81.7
119.6Offensive Efficiency122.2
110.1Defensive Efficiency95.2
9.5Net Efficiency27.0
5.3Strength of Schedule7.8
-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7
69.2Tempo66.8
55.1%Effective FG%56.9%
15.5%Turnover Rate15.9%
35.9%Offensive Rebound %38.2%
44.3%Free Throw Rate39.0%
6.6Average Margin18.0
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.0%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
9–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–61.6), offensive efficiency (122.2–119.6), defensive efficiency (95.2–110.1), net efficiency (27.0–9.5).
Texas COUNTERS WITHball security (15.5–15.9), free throw rate (44.3–39.0).
Final
Texas logo
Texas
60—75
Duke logo
Duke
Duke by 15 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TexasTEAM STATDuke
19-59FG22-52
32.0%FG%42.0%
5-173PT9-23
29.0%3PT%39.0%
17-23FT22-30
74.0%FT%73.0%
41Rebounds37
18Offensive Rebounds11
6Assists15
16Turnovers10
4Steals8
2Blocks2
25Fouls21

Player Box Score

Texas
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Dailyn SwainG367-182-50-061100016
Jordan PopeG303-103-46-722000015
Matas VokietaitisC233-80-09-1080010015
Lassina TraoreF182-50-11-29120005
Nic CodieF232-70-20-24001004
Chendall WeaverG151-50-31-13000003
Tramon MarkG251-20-00-13100002
Simeon WilcherG150-30-10-01110000
Camden HeideF90-00-00-02000000
Declan Duru Jr.F60-10-10-00000000
Duke
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Isaiah EvansG337-134-85-611000023
Cameron BoozerF363-120-49-12123210015
Patrick Ngongba IIC244-70-22-342110010
Dame SarrG282-52-32-46130008
Caleb FosterG263-61-10-01200007
Nikolas KhameniaG181-21-21-23200004
Maliq BrownF131-30-11-11110003
Darren HarrisG81-31-20-01110003
Cayden BoozerG140-10-02-23200002

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6
90.1Offensive Efficiency112.6
112.6Defensive Efficiency90.1
-22.5Net Efficiency22.5
36.4%Effective FG%51.0%
42.9%True Shooting %56.6%
23.6%Turnover Rate15.3%
39.0%Free Throw Rate57.7%
28.8%3-Point Rate44.2%
0.38Assist / Turnover1.50
Game Summary
Duke won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.