Merrimack

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.4%Merrimack

84.6%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -10.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.6

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -549

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMerrimack 69

Projected Total149.6

Projected ScoreAuburn 80

Team Comparison

MerrimackMetricAuburn

53.7MMH Power Index64.4

106.4Offensive Efficiency118.8

103.2Defensive Efficiency113.0

3.2Net Efficiency5.8

0.7Strength of Schedule7.5

12.9Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

64.4Tempo69.8

49.3%Effective FG%53.1%

14.8%Turnover Rate14.5%

24.7%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

39.5%Free Throw Rate43.8%

2.1Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–53.7), offensive efficiency (118.8–106.4), net efficiency (5.8–3.2), strength of schedule (7.5–0.7).

Merrimack COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.2–113.0), recent form (12.9–8.0).

Final

Merrimack

57—95

Auburn

Auburn by 38 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MerrimackTEAM STATAuburn

16-56FG31-62

29.0%FG%50.0%

8-323PT6-24

25.0%3PT%25.0%

17-24FT27-37

71.0%FT%73.0%

24Rebounds55

10Offensive Rebounds21

7Assists14

11Turnovers8

7Steals7

3Blocks5

27Fouls20

Player Box Score

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ernest Shelton	G	36	6-12	5-10	6-6	4	0	3	0	23
Kevair Kennedy	G	24	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Tye Dorset	G	23	2-5	1-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Andrés Marrero	G	22	1-7	1-5	2-3	1	1	1	0	5
Todd Brogna	F	28	2-11	0-6	0-1	4	3	0	1	4
Jaylen Stinson	G	13	1-3	0-1	2-3	2	0	0	0	4
Aliou Cisse	F	12	1-4	0-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Brendan Johnson	G	8	1-2	0-1	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Dylan Veillette	F	14	0-3	0-2	2-4	2	0	1	0	2
KC Ugwuakazi	F	9	0-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	1	2
Malik Edmead	G	11	0-4	0-0	1-2	2	2	0	1	1

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	26	6-9	1-1	12-13	14	1	1	0	25
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	26	5-8	0-1	4-6	5	5	2	1	14
Tahaad Pettiford	G	26	4-13	1-7	4-4	4	1	2	0	13
Emeka Opurum	C	19	4-4	0-0	3-6	4	0	1	2	11
Abdul Bashir	G	15	3-6	2-5	2-2	0	1	0	0	10
Filip Jovic	F	19	4-7	0-0	1-3	10	1	0	1	9
Kevin Overton	G	20	2-4	1-3	1-2	4	0	0	0	6
Elyjah Freeman	G	22	2-5	0-2	0-1	6	2	0	0	4
Kaden Magwood	G	15	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	3	0	1	3
Blake Muschalek	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Drake Cardwell	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Reed Trapp	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
CJ Williams	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

84.4Offensive Efficiency140.7

140.7Defensive Efficiency84.4

-56.3Net Efficiency56.3

35.7%Effective FG%54.8%

42.3%True Shooting %59.7%

16.1%Turnover Rate12.0%

42.9%Free Throw Rate59.7%

57.1%3-Point Rate38.7%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Auburn won by 38 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.