Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.2%Valparaiso

88.8%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -13.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.8

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -793

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 69

Projected Total150.8

Projected ScoreKentucky 82

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricKentucky

49.9MMH Power Index63.9

106.6Offensive Efficiency115.2

105.8Defensive Efficiency106.3

0.8Net Efficiency8.9

0.3Strength of Schedule8.7

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

67.5Tempo69.9

48.7%Effective FG%53.2%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.4%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

40.0%Free Throw Rate38.0%

0.5Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–49.9), offensive efficiency (115.2–106.6), net efficiency (8.9–0.8), strength of schedule (8.7–0.3).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.8–106.3), recent form (-0.1–-1.0), free throw rate (40.0–38.0).

Final

Valparaiso

59—107

Kentucky

Kentucky by 48 • 75.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATKentucky

19-67FG37-68

28.0%FG%54.0%

8-343PT11-28

24.0%3PT%39.0%

13-20FT22-26

65.0%FT%85.0%

34Rebounds50

12Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists27

10Turnovers6

4Steals3

4Blocks5

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rakim Chaney	G	26	5-10	2-6	3-4	3	5	0	0	15
Carter Hopoi	F	21	4-6	0-1	1-4	0	0	1	0	9
Owen Dease	F	25	2-6	1-5	2-2	5	1	1	1	7
Shon Tupuola	C	22	2-6	0-0	3-4	8	1	0	2	7
Mark Brown Jr.	G	19	2-7	2-4	1-2	0	0	0	0	7
JT Pettigrew	F	20	1-11	1-5	2-2	6	0	0	0	5
Tucker Tornatta	C	15	1-4	1-3	1-2	5	0	0	0	4
Sader Servilus	G	4	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Isaiah Barnes	G	17	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Justus McNair	G	17	0-5	0-2	0-0	3	1	2	0	0
Brody Whitaker	G	10	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Kyonte Thomas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Camden Webster	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nick Lombardi	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joe Vick	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malachi Moreno	C	21	8-14	0-0	2-4	10	3	0	1	18
Otega Oweh	G	22	6-10	1-3	2-2	5	3	0	0	15
Collin Chandler	G	23	4-8	4-8	2-2	5	4	0	1	14
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	20	5-8	1-3	3-4	5	0	1	1	14
Denzel Aberdeen	G	19	3-3	1-1	5-5	4	2	1	0	12
Brandon Garrison	F	18	4-4	0-0	4-4	4	4	0	1	12
Jasper Johnson	G	21	3-5	3-4	0-0	1	5	0	0	9
Andrija Jelavic	F	20	2-5	1-3	2-3	5	1	0	0	7
Jaland Lowe	G	18	2-7	0-2	2-2	2	5	1	0	6
Kam Williams	G	16	0-3	0-3	0-0	4	0	0	1	0
Zach Tow	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Walker Horn	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.0Possessions75.0

78.7Offensive Efficiency142.7

142.7Defensive Efficiency78.7

-64.0Net Efficiency64.0

34.3%Effective FG%62.5%

38.6%True Shooting %66.6%

13.4%Turnover Rate8.0%

29.9%Free Throw Rate38.2%

50.7%3-Point Rate41.2%

1.10Assist / Turnover4.50

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 48 points. The game played at approximately 75.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.