Florida Gulf Coast

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.6%Florida Gulf Coast

97.4%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -23.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -3746

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 66

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreIllinois 89

Team Comparison

Florida Gulf CoastMetricIllinois

48.6MMH Power Index76.5

110.5Offensive Efficiency125.0

109.2Defensive Efficiency103.3

1.3Net Efficiency21.7

-1.8Strength of Schedule6.7

0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

70.0Tempo66.5

52.1%Effective FG%54.8%

15.7%Turnover Rate13.1%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

29.9%Free Throw Rate33.8%

0.9Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–48.6), offensive efficiency (125.0–110.5), defensive efficiency (103.3–109.2), net efficiency (21.7–1.3).

Final

Florida Gulf Coast

70—113

Illinois

Illinois by 43 • 75.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida Gulf CoastTEAM STATIllinois

26-79FG36-65

33.0%FG%55.0%

7-273PT11-31

26.0%3PT%35.0%

11-12FT30-34

92.0%FT%88.0%

30Rebounds51

13Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists15

1Turnovers7

4Steals—

2Blocks9

25Fouls15

Player Box Score

Florida Gulf Coast

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
J.R. Konieczny	F	28	8-16	3-7	7-8	5	1	2	0	26
Jordan Ellerbee	G	22	5-14	1-4	1-1	5	1	0	0	12
Isaiah Malone	F	22	2-9	0-1	3-3	5	0	0	2	7
Jack Reddick	G	23	3-8	0-0	0-0	1	5	0	0	6
Tristen Guillouette	C	18	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Rahmir Barno	G	17	2-8	0-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	4
George Washington III	G	18	1-7	1-6	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Rory Stewart	F	15	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Darren Williams	G	11	1-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Gabe Tanner	F	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Michael Duax	F	12	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Matt McCarthy	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Kylan Boswell	G	28	8-13	4-7	11-13	10	3	0	31
Keaton Wagler	G	28	7-9	1-3	7-7	7	3	0	22
David Mirkovic	F	28	5-11	0-3	7-8	11	1	1	17
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	29	6-9	3-6	1-1	9	0	7	16
Ben Humrichous	F	23	3-7	1-5	2-2	5	2	0	9
Andrej Stojakovic	G	22	4-10	1-3	0-1	5	3	0	9
Jason Jakstys	F	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	4
Jake Davis	F	24	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	3
AJ Redd	G	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	2
Blake Fagbemi	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.0Possessions75.0

93.3Offensive Efficiency150.7

150.7Defensive Efficiency93.3

-57.3Net Efficiency57.3

37.3%Effective FG%63.8%

41.3%True Shooting %69.6%

1.4%Turnover Rate9.1%

15.2%Free Throw Rate52.3%

34.2%3-Point Rate47.7%

13.00Assist / Turnover2.14

Game Summary

Illinois won by 43 points. The game played at approximately 75.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.