Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.0%Idaho State

89.0%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -14.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -809

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 68

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 83

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricSan Diego State

45.9MMH Power Index60.1

111.0Offensive Efficiency110.3

113.4Defensive Efficiency99.3

-2.4Net Efficiency11.0

0.2Strength of Schedule3.8

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

67.1Tempo70.8

52.2%Effective FG%53.2%

16.5%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-1.6Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–45.9), defensive efficiency (99.3–113.4), net efficiency (11.0–-2.4), strength of schedule (3.8–0.2).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.0–110.3), ball security (16.5–17.2), offensive rebounding (33.9–30.8).

Final

Idaho State

57—73

San Diego State

San Diego State by 16 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATSan Diego State

20-45FG29-49

44.0%FG%59.0%

7-213PT6-17

33.0%3PT%35.0%

10-14FT9-12

71.0%FT%75.0%

25Rebounds22

9Offensive Rebounds5

12Assists17

19Turnovers12

6Steals11

1Blocks5

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Hollenbeck	F	33	4-11	4-8	5-6	4	2	0	0	17
Caleb Van De Griend	F	17	3-6	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	8
Jamison Guerra	PG	28	3-6	1-3	0-0	0	6	3	0	7
Blake Daberkow	F	10	3-3	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	6
Cheikh Sow	G	27	2-5	0-2	1-3	5	0	3	0	5
Evan Otten	F	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	4
Lachlan Brewer	G	27	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Quin Patterson	G	12	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Gus Etchison	PG	11	0-2	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Jaedyn Brown	G	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Martin Kheil	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Kasen Carpenter	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Louis Bond	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Landen Birley	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	31	6-8	2-3	1-2	6	2	2	0	15
Pharaoh Compton	F	11	7-7	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	14
Jeremiah Oden	F	23	4-6	1-3	4-4	3	0	1	0	13
Miles Heide	F	19	4-8	0-2	1-2	5	1	1	0	9
Elzie Harrington	G	17	3-5	2-3	0-0	0	3	0	0	8
Reese Waters	Guard	--	2-2	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	0	5
Miles Byrd	G	29	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	6	6	0	4
Taj DeGourville	G	18	1-4	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Tae Simmons	F	15	1-2	0-1	1-2	1	0	1	2	3
BJ Davis	G	15	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Sean Newman Jr.	G	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	4	0	0	0
Thokbor Majak	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

92.4Offensive Efficiency118.3

118.3Defensive Efficiency92.4

-25.9Net Efficiency25.9

52.2%Effective FG%65.3%

55.2%True Shooting %66.7%

30.8%Turnover Rate19.4%

31.1%Free Throw Rate24.5%

46.7%3-Point Rate34.7%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.