Pennsylvania

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%Pennsylvania

49.6%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINEPennsylvania -102

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePennsylvania 74

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreAmerican University 76

Team Comparison

PennsylvaniaMetricAmerican University

52.9MMH Power Index48.2

108.6Offensive Efficiency110.6

106.4Defensive Efficiency105.8

2.2Net Efficiency4.8

1.9Strength of Schedule-4.3

2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

69.9Tempo67.5

50.9%Effective FG%52.6%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.7%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

36.3%Free Throw Rate30.1%

1.5Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Pennsylvania HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPennsylvania holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.9–48.2), strength of schedule (1.9–-4.3), recent form (2.3–2.2), ball security (15.4–15.7).

American University COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–108.6), defensive efficiency (105.8–106.4), net efficiency (4.8–2.2).

Final

Pennsylvania

78—84

American University

American University by 6 • 77.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PennsylvaniaTEAM STATAmerican University

22-52FG30-63

42.0%FG%48.0%

9-213PT9-30

43.0%3PT%30.0%

25-32FT15-23

78.0%FT%65.0%

35Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists12

18Turnovers13

6Steals9

3Blocks2

22Fouls25

Player Box Score

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Zanoni	F	37	6-13	6-10	2-2	2	1	1	0	20
Ethan Roberts	F	30	4-14	0-4	11-14	4	5	1	0	19
Cam Thrower	G	31	4-7	1-2	7-7	1	1	0	0	16
TJ Power	F	25	4-10	2-3	0-2	7	1	2	1	10
Augustus Gerhart	F	28	3-3	0-0	2-2	11	0	2	0	8
Lucas Lueth	F	23	1-4	0-2	1-3	3	1	0	2	3
Dalton Scantlebury	C	12	0-1	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	0	2
AJ Levine	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Niklas Polonowski	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jay Jones	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Madden Collins	G	25	11-17	2-7	1-1	3	1	4	0	25
Julen Iturbe	F	26	5-9	3-6	3-4	3	4	0	0	16
Carson McDonald	F	19	4-6	0-0	3-6	9	1	1	0	11
Geoff Sprouse	G	25	4-8	2-6	0-0	2	4	0	0	10
Greg Jones	F	30	3-9	1-4	2-4	7	1	1	0	9
Wyatt Nausadis	G	23	2-6	1-4	0-2	1	1	2	2	5
Matt Mayock	F	26	1-4	0-1	2-2	5	0	0	0	4
Kade Sebastian	G	23	0-3	0-2	4-4	5	0	1	0	4
Chris Eagan	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dean Hogans	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.1Possessions77.1

101.2Offensive Efficiency108.9

108.9Defensive Efficiency101.2

-7.8Net Efficiency7.8

51.0%Effective FG%54.8%

58.0%True Shooting %56.8%

23.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

61.5%Free Throw Rate36.5%

40.4%3-Point Rate47.6%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

American University won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 77.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.