Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.8%Cal State Northridge

45.2%North Dakota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL161.5

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -121

North Dakota

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 81

Projected Total161.5

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota 81

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricNorth Dakota

50MMH Power Index43.7

107.3Offensive Efficiency109.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency110.2

2.1Net Efficiency-1.0

-0.6Strength of Schedule-3.4

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.2

75.9Tempo70.1

51.0%Effective FG%50.1%

17.3%Turnover Rate14.0%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %28.9%

34.7%Free Throw Rate37.5%

1.6Average Margin-0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–43.7), defensive efficiency (105.2–110.2), net efficiency (2.1–-1.0), strength of schedule (-0.6–-3.4).

North Dakota COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–107.3), ball security (14.0–17.3), free throw rate (37.5–34.7).

Final

Cal State Northridge

93—85

North Dakota

Cal State Northridge by 8 • 75.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATNorth Dakota

33-60FG31-65

55.0%FG%48.0%

8-183PT8-29

44.0%3PT%28.0%

19-31FT15-23

61.0%FT%65.0%

44Rebounds28

14Offensive Rebounds9

21Assists15

16Turnovers8

4Steals11

1Blocks3

20Fouls24

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josiah Davis	G	38	8-14	0-0	9-11	2	6	1	0	25
Larry Hughes II	G	22	7-9	6-7	3-4	1	0	1	0	23
Joshua O'Garro	G	36	7-13	0-2	2-3	14	4	1	1	16
Aleks Szymczyk	C	13	4-4	1-1	1-2	4	1	0	0	10
Mahmoud Fofana	F	35	3-9	0-1	3-9	10	1	0	0	9
Jordan Brinson	G	27	1-3	1-3	1-2	0	3	0	0	4
Grady Lewis	F	16	2-3	0-0	0-0	7	5	0	0	4
Jai Chisolm	G	11	1-5	0-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
James Evans Jr.	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Greyson Uelmen	G	29	7-9	3-4	7-9	4	3	1	0	24
Anthony Smith III	G	29	7-16	0-5	1-2	4	6	2	0	15
Eli King	G	25	5-11	1-6	1-2	3	2	3	1	12
Zach Kraft	G	26	4-7	3-6	0-0	1	1	2	0	11
Garrett Anderson	G	35	3-9	1-5	0-0	2	2	2	1	7
Josh Jones	C	26	1-2	0-0	4-6	5	0	1	0	6
George Natsvlishvili	F	14	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	6
Micah Curtis	F	6	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	3
Marley Curtis	F	10	0-6	0-3	1-2	1	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

75.8Possessions75.8

122.7Offensive Efficiency112.1

112.1Defensive Efficiency122.7

10.6Net Efficiency-10.6

61.7%Effective FG%53.8%

62.2%True Shooting %56.0%

20.9%Turnover Rate10.7%

51.7%Free Throw Rate35.4%

30.0%3-Point Rate44.6%

1.31Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 75.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.