South Dakota State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.4%South Dakota State

85.6%Northern Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL139.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -594

Northern Iowa

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 64

Projected Total139.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 75

Team Comparison

South Dakota StateMetricNorthern Iowa

49.6MMH Power Index61

110.6Offensive Efficiency108.4

106.9Defensive Efficiency96.4

3.7Net Efficiency12.0

-2.2Strength of Schedule2.2

0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency13.9

68.2Tempo64.1

52.6%Effective FG%54.6%

16.2%Turnover Rate14.4%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

30.3%Free Throw Rate26.2%

2.6Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–49.6), defensive efficiency (96.4–106.9), net efficiency (12.0–3.7), strength of schedule (2.2–-2.2).

South Dakota State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–108.4), offensive rebounding (31.5–21.9), free throw rate (30.3–26.2).

Final

South Dakota State

58—65

Northern Iowa

Northern Iowa by 7 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Dakota StateTEAM STATNorthern Iowa

22-51FG24-49

43.0%FG%49.0%

5-223PT6-18

23.0%3PT%33.0%

9-14FT11-20

64.0%FT%55.0%

39Rebounds23

12Offensive Rebounds5

10Assists13

17Turnovers11

5Steals8

2Blocks5

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe Sayler	G	36	6-16	3-7	1-2	3	3	0	0	16
Damon Wilkinson	C	25	7-8	0-0	2-3	10	2	0	1	16
Kalen Garry	G	31	5-12	2-7	0-0	6	0	2	0	12
Jaden Jackson	G	34	2-8	0-4	5-6	4	4	3	0	9
Alec Squires	C	15	1-1	0-0	1-3	7	0	0	1	3
Matthew Mors	F	20	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Caleb Delzell	F	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	0
Trey Buchanan	G	12	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Luke Haertle	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaden Rogers	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tristan Smith	F	26	5-6	0-0	6-8	4	4	2	0	16
Will Hornseth	F	31	6-9	0-0	0-3	4	2	0	2	12
Leon Bond III	F	35	4-6	2-4	1-3	2	1	1	2	11
Max Weisbrod	G	29	3-4	2-3	1-2	4	2	1	0	9
Trey Campbell	G	31	2-12	1-5	2-3	1	3	3	0	7
Ben Schwieger	F	23	3-6	0-1	1-1	5	0	0	1	7
Kyle Pock	F	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
RJ Taylor	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Ismael Diouf	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Geon Hutchins	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

91.2Offensive Efficiency102.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency91.2

-11.0Net Efficiency11.0

48.0%Effective FG%55.1%

50.3%True Shooting %55.6%

27.1%Turnover Rate17.1%

27.5%Free Throw Rate40.8%

43.1%3-Point Rate36.7%

0.59Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.