Denver

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.7%Denver

73.3%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL161.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -275

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDenver 76

Projected Total161.3

Projected ScoreMontana State 85

Team Comparison

DenverMetricMontana State

49.1MMH Power Index53.6

119.2Offensive Efficiency114.4

119.2Defensive Efficiency104.9

0.0Net Efficiency9.5

-2.6Strength of Schedule-3.7

4.0Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

69.5Tempo68.1

55.3%Effective FG%55.1%

14.2%Turnover Rate14.7%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

35.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

0.0Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Denver HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDenver holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (119.2–114.4), strength of schedule (-2.6–-3.7), shooting efficiency (55.3–55.1), ball security (14.2–14.7).

Montana State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (53.6–49.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–119.2), net efficiency (9.5–0.0).

Final

Denver

75—73

Montana State

Denver by 2 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DenverTEAM STATMontana State

32-55FG30-61

58.0%FG%49.0%

5-103PT8-28

50.0%3PT%29.0%

6-10FT5-7

60.0%FT%71.0%

31Rebounds24

9Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists10

14Turnovers8

3Steals11

1Blocks1

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Denver

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Burke	F	39	9-13	2-3	3-5	7	1	1	0	23
Carson Johnson	G	37	8-16	2-4	1-2	1	3	0	0	19
Logan Kinsey	F	40	7-11	0-0	1-1	2	0	1	0	15
Gabe Oldham	F	32	3-4	0-0	1-2	9	1	1	0	7
Zane Nelson	G	12	2-6	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Shaun Wysocki	F	19	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	1	4
Julius Rollins	G	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	0	2
Josh Lee	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jed Miller	G	32	6-8	4-5	0-1	5	1	4	0	16
Davian Brown	G	25	7-12	1-6	1-2	3	0	1	0	16
Patrick McMahon	G	20	5-10	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	11
Christian King	F	24	4-10	2-7	0-0	1	1	2	0	10
Jeremiah Davis	G	14	3-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Cavin Holden	G	30	1-6	0-4	2-2	4	3	1	0	4
Jaden Steppe	F	20	2-6	0-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	4
Waka Mbatch	F	9	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	1	4
Chris Hodges	F	26	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

117.0Offensive Efficiency113.9

113.9Defensive Efficiency117.0

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

62.7%Effective FG%55.7%

62.8%True Shooting %56.7%

21.6%Turnover Rate12.6%

18.2%Free Throw Rate11.5%

18.2%3-Point Rate45.9%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Denver won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.