UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.1%UC Davis

46.9%Portland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -113

Portland

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 78

Projected Total155.5

Projected ScorePortland 77

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricPortland

48.4MMH Power Index42.7

107.2Offensive Efficiency104.8

103.7Defensive Efficiency110.6

3.5Net Efficiency-5.8

-1.9Strength of Schedule1.8

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.1

72.4Tempo71.0

52.3%Effective FG%52.0%

17.7%Turnover Rate19.3%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

41.5%Free Throw Rate36.9%

2.5Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–42.7), offensive efficiency (107.2–104.8), defensive efficiency (103.7–110.6), net efficiency (3.5–-5.8).

Portland COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-1.9), offensive rebounding (28.7–26.7).

Final

UC Davis

63—67

Portland

Portland by 4 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATPortland

22-61FG22-54

36.0%FG%41.0%

7-333PT7-22

21.0%3PT%32.0%

12-16FT16-22

75.0%FT%73.0%

40Rebounds37

15Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists13

16Turnovers17

5Steals6

2Blocks2

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Chappell	F	24	5-10	3-7	1-4	7	3	1	0	14
Connor Sevilla	G	37	4-10	1-4	4-4	4	0	0	0	13
Omer Suljanovic	F	31	5-14	1-7	1-1	6	0	0	0	12
Niko Rocak	F	17	3-6	1-2	4-4	6	2	0	1	11
Marcus Wilson	G	25	2-7	0-4	2-2	3	1	2	0	6
Abdullah Amzil	F	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jalen Stokes	G	12	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Chase Rawlins	G	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Brayden Fagbemi	G	31	0-7	0-6	0-0	6	7	2	0	0
Jonathan Noudjihidi	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	0

Portland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joel Foxwell	G	39	7-14	5-10	4-5	4	3	1	1	23
James O'Donnell	F	25	4-5	0-0	3-6	4	1	2	0	11
Mikah Ballew	G	31	3-9	1-4	2-2	1	1	1	0	9
Timo George	F	19	2-3	0-1	2-3	6	0	0	0	6
Garrett Nuckolls	G	23	2-7	0-2	1-2	4	2	0	0	5
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	9	2-6	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Cameron Williams	F	28	1-4	0-0	2-2	5	2	2	1	4
Matúš Hronský	F	11	1-4	0-2	2-2	3	2	0	0	4
Dante Censori-Hercules	G	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

90.5Offensive Efficiency96.3

96.3Defensive Efficiency90.5

-5.7Net Efficiency5.7

41.8%Effective FG%47.2%

45.9%True Shooting %52.0%

23.0%Turnover Rate24.5%

26.2%Free Throw Rate40.7%

54.1%3-Point Rate40.7%

0.94Assist / Turnover0.76

Game Summary

Portland won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.