Omaha

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.1%Omaha

84.9%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -11.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -562

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOmaha 70

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreColorado State 81

Team Comparison

OmahaMetricColorado State

44.5MMH Power Index55.4

110.2Offensive Efficiency117.1

110.8Defensive Efficiency109.9

-0.6Net Efficiency7.2

-2.5Strength of Schedule0.4

-4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

69.0Tempo64.7

53.6%Effective FG%58.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate18.3%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

34.0%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-0.5Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–44.5), offensive efficiency (117.1–110.2), defensive efficiency (109.9–110.8), net efficiency (7.2–-0.6).

Omaha COUNTERS WITHball security (16.0–18.3).

Final

Omaha

74—97

Colorado State

Colorado State by 23 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OmahaTEAM STATColorado State

25-59FG29-53

42.0%FG%55.0%

13-363PT11-29

36.0%3PT%38.0%

11-15FT28-33

73.0%FT%85.0%

21Rebounds43

8Offensive Rebounds14

14Assists17

7Turnovers11

8Steals3

1Blocks1

24Fouls16

Player Box Score

Omaha

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tony Osburn	G	35	9-18	6-12	0-0	1	3	4	0	24
Lance Waddles	G	31	7-15	4-9	0-0	3	2	1	0	18
Julian Margrave	F	10	3-8	2-5	2-2	0	0	0	0	10
Grant Stubblefield	G	38	3-7	0-2	3-5	0	6	3	0	9
Kamryn Thomas	F	24	1-2	1-2	2-2	7	1	0	0	5
Brock Scholl	F	24	1-2	0-1	0-2	2	1	0	1	2
Ja'Sean Glover	G	15	0-2	0-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Valentino Simon	F	12	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Christian Richardson	C	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Khamani Cooper	G	5	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyle Jorgensen	F	31	8-12	2-5	7-8	9	2	1	1	25
Josh Pascarelli	G	28	6-9	3-6	0-0	4	4	0	0	15
Carey Booth	F	25	4-6	2-4	3-4	11	2	1	0	13
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	15	2-2	0-0	9-11	2	0	1	0	13
Jevin Muniz	G	26	2-5	1-2	3-3	4	3	0	0	8
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	26	3-8	2-7	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Jase Butler	G	20	2-5	1-2	1-1	1	1	0	0	6
Nikola Djapa	C	8	1-2	0-1	3-4	2	0	0	0	5
Jojo McIver	G	19	1-3	0-1	2-2	5	4	0	0	4
Darnez Slater	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

113.1Offensive Efficiency148.3

148.3Defensive Efficiency113.1

-35.2Net Efficiency35.2

53.4%Effective FG%65.1%

56.0%True Shooting %70.6%

10.7%Turnover Rate16.7%

25.4%Free Throw Rate62.3%

61.0%3-Point Rate54.7%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.