Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.8%Mississippi State

98.2%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -26.4

PROJECTED TOTAL156.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -5456

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 65

Projected Total156.2

Projected ScoreIowa State 91

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricIowa State

44.6MMH Power Index75.9

107.4Offensive Efficiency119.3

113.2Defensive Efficiency96.0

-5.8Net Efficiency23.3

5.0Strength of Schedule4.9

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

72.3Tempo68.4

51.6%Effective FG%56.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate15.0%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

30.9%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-4.2Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–44.6), offensive efficiency (119.3–107.4), defensive efficiency (96.0–113.2), net efficiency (23.3–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.0–4.9).

Final

Mississippi State

80—96

Iowa State

Iowa State by 16 • 75.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATIowa State

29-58FG36-70

50.0%FG%51.0%

11-273PT5-22

41.0%3PT%23.0%

11-14FT19-25

79.0%FT%76.0%

37Rebounds31

15Offensive Rebounds15

14Assists21

26Turnovers9

4Steals12

3Blocks5

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	36	8-17	4-10	5-5	3	5	1	0	25
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	20	5-9	1-3	0-0	6	2	0	0	11
Brandon Walker	F	9	4-4	1-1	1-3	3	2	0	0	10
Achor Achor	F	19	2-6	0-2	5-6	8	0	1	0	9
King Grace	G	17	3-5	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	25	2-8	2-5	0-0	2	2	2	0	6
Quincy Ballard	C	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Dellquan Warren	G	16	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Amier Ali	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jamarion Davis-Fleming	F	18	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	3	2
Sergej Macura	F	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	0

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tamin Lipsey	G	36	9-17	2-5	5-6	1	6	3	1	25
Joshua Jefferson	F	25	6-8	0-1	6-7	4	4	1	0	18
Blake Buchanan	F	31	5-6	0-0	3-6	6	4	1	3	13
Dominick Nelson	G	19	3-7	0-1	5-6	3	1	2	0	11
Nate Heise	G	27	4-7	0-3	0-0	4	4	1	0	8
Killyan Toure	G	23	3-8	0-3	0-0	2	1	1	1	6
Jamarion Batemon	G	14	2-6	2-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
Milan Momcilovic	F	16	2-6	1-5	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Dominykas Pleta	F	7	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Eric Mulder	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.8Possessions75.8

105.5Offensive Efficiency126.6

126.6Defensive Efficiency105.5

-21.1Net Efficiency21.1

59.5%Effective FG%55.0%

61.9%True Shooting %58.6%

34.4%Turnover Rate11.9%

24.1%Free Throw Rate35.7%

46.6%3-Point Rate31.4%

0.54Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 75.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.