Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.3%Ball State

95.7%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -19.5

PROJECTED TOTAL149.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -2226

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 65

Projected Total149.3

Projected ScoreWisconsin 84

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricWisconsin

41.3MMH Power Index64.5

101.7Offensive Efficiency118.6

104.7Defensive Efficiency108.8

-3.0Net Efficiency9.8

-3.9Strength of Schedule6.7

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

66.4Tempo69.9

48.3%Effective FG%54.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate12.8%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

33.0%Free Throw Rate32.5%

-2.0Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–41.3), offensive efficiency (118.6–101.7), net efficiency (9.8–-3.0), strength of schedule (6.7–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–108.8), free throw rate (33.0–32.5).

Final

Ball State

55—86

Wisconsin

Wisconsin by 31 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATWisconsin

18-53FG32-64

34.0%FG%50.0%

7-233PT14-38

30.0%3PT%37.0%

12-21FT8-8

57.0%FT%100.0%

25Rebounds45

8Offensive Rebounds15

9Assists20

14Turnovers15

9Steals5

4Blocks8

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elmore James IV	G	30	6-11	1-4	4-4	1	0	1	0	17
Devon Barnes	G	25	4-11	2-5	2-2	0	5	0	0	12
Mason Jones	F	30	4-5	3-3	0-0	4	0	4	0	11
Preston Copeland	F	15	1-1	0-0	2-7	3	0	2	0	4
Cam Denson	F	22	1-4	1-2	0-2	3	1	0	4	3
Armoni Zeigler	G	27	0-3	0-1	2-4	3	0	0	0	2
Davion Hill	G	21	1-6	0-3	0-0	5	2	2	0	2
Juwan Maxey	G	17	0-8	0-4	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Kayden Fish	F	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jai Anthoni Bearden	F	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nolan Winter	F	20	7-11	2-3	3-3	10	2	0	3	19
Nick Boyd	G	19	5-12	2-7	0-0	1	0	1	0	12
Braeden Carrington	G	18	4-6	2-4	2-2	4	1	1	0	12
Austin Rapp	F	25	4-10	2-7	1-1	2	3	1	3	11
Andrew Rohde	G	20	4-7	2-5	0-0	0	1	1	0	10
John Blackwell	G	26	2-6	2-6	2-2	5	4	1	0	8
Aleksas Bieliauskas	F	17	3-4	0-1	0-0	8	1	0	2	6
Jack Janicki	G	21	2-5	1-4	0-0	4	2	0	0	5
Jack Robison	F	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Hayden Jones	G	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Will Garlock	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Riccardo Greppi	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaac Gard	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

80.4Offensive Efficiency125.7

125.7Defensive Efficiency80.4

-45.3Net Efficiency45.3

40.6%Effective FG%60.9%

43.7%True Shooting %63.4%

20.3%Turnover Rate22.1%

39.6%Free Throw Rate12.5%

43.4%3-Point Rate59.4%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 31 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.