Kentucky

22-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.6%Kentucky

70.4%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL159.2

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -238

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKentucky 76

Projected Total159.2

Projected ScoreLouisville 83

Team Comparison

KentuckyMetricLouisville

63.9MMH Power Index67.1

115.2Offensive Efficiency118.6

106.3Defensive Efficiency102.2

8.9Net Efficiency16.4

8.7Strength of Schedule6.0

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

69.9Tempo71.0

53.2%Effective FG%56.9%

15.4%Turnover Rate16.8%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

38.0%Free Throw Rate34.1%

6.2Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–63.9), offensive efficiency (118.6–115.2), defensive efficiency (102.2–106.3), net efficiency (16.4–8.9).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (8.7–6.0), ball security (15.4–16.8), offensive rebounding (33.2–32.3).

Final

Kentucky

88—96

Louisville

Louisville by 8 • 76.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

KentuckyTEAM STATLouisville

32-68FG31-69

47.0%FG%45.0%

12-343PT13-40

35.0%3PT%32.0%

12-16FT21-31

75.0%FT%68.0%

42Rebounds40

13Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists20

14Turnovers6

4Steals11

3Blocks3

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Denzel Aberdeen	G	31	10-20	4-10	2-3	7	3	1	0	26
Otega Oweh	G	28	4-13	1-6	3-4	5	2	2	1	12
Collin Chandler	G	25	4-7	4-6	0-0	6	2	0	0	12
Jaland Lowe	G	30	2-8	2-5	3-4	1	5	1	1	9
Malachi Moreno	C	17	3-3	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	8
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	18	3-6	0-2	1-1	4	1	0	0	7
Andrija Jelavic	F	10	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Kam Williams	G	12	2-2	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	5
Brandon Garrison	F	23	1-2	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	0	3
Jasper Johnson	G	6	0-4	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mikel Brown Jr.	G	33	8-16	3-10	10-11	2	5	0	0	29
Ryan Conwell	G	32	6-16	4-10	8-12	1	2	2	0	24
Sananda Fru	F	25	4-4	0-0	2-2	7	3	0	2	10
Isaac McKneely	G	31	3-8	3-7	0-0	5	2	2	0	9
J'Vonne Hadley	G	27	4-6	1-2	0-4	8	3	2	1	9
Adrian Wooley	G	17	3-11	2-7	1-2	5	0	0	0	9
Aly Khalifa	C	15	2-4	0-2	0-0	4	4	3	0	4
Kobe Rodgers	G	7	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Khani Rooths	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Kasean Pryor	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.7Possessions76.7

114.7Offensive Efficiency125.2

125.2Defensive Efficiency114.7

-10.4Net Efficiency10.4

55.9%Effective FG%54.3%

58.2%True Shooting %57.3%

18.3%Turnover Rate7.8%

23.5%Free Throw Rate44.9%

50.0%3-Point Rate58.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover3.33

Game Summary

Louisville won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 76.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.