Texas Tech

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.4%Texas Tech

84.6%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -549

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas Tech 72

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreIllinois 83

Team Comparison

Texas TechMetricIllinois

65.8MMH Power Index76.5

117.8Offensive Efficiency125.0

107.2Defensive Efficiency103.3

10.6Net Efficiency21.7

9.4Strength of Schedule6.7

0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

68.1Tempo66.5

56.4%Effective FG%54.8%

15.8%Turnover Rate13.1%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

28.2%Free Throw Rate33.8%

7.2Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–65.8), offensive efficiency (125.0–117.8), defensive efficiency (103.3–107.2), net efficiency (21.7–10.6).

Texas Tech COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (9.4–6.7), shooting efficiency (56.4–54.8).

Final

Texas Tech

77—81

Illinois

Illinois by 4 • 71.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas TechTEAM STATIllinois

34-64FG29-59

53.0%FG%49.0%

6-223PT7-22

27.0%3PT%32.0%

3-4FT16-23

75.0%FT%70.0%

30Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds11

20Assists5

13Turnovers13

7Steals6

3Blocks5

18Fouls8

Player Box Score

Texas Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JT Toppin	F	39	17-25	1-2	0-1	11	3	3	3	35
LeJuan Watts	F	30	8-10	2-2	3-3	4	2	0	0	21
Christian Anderson	G	39	4-12	0-6	0-0	3	11	2	0	8
Jaylen Petty	G	18	2-5	1-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	5
Donovan Atwell	G	34	1-4	1-4	0-0	7	1	1	0	3
Tyeree Bryan	G	26	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Marial Akuentok	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Nolan Groves	G	9	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrej Stojakovic	G	26	11-16	0-1	1-2	3	1	3	2	23
Kylan Boswell	G	38	5-10	3-5	9-12	2	3	1	0	22
David Mirkovic	F	36	5-13	1-5	0-1	4	1	2	0	11
Keaton Wagler	G	35	3-9	0-3	5-6	7	0	0	0	11
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	24	4-6	2-4	1-2	7	0	0	3	11
Ben Humrichous	F	23	1-5	1-4	0-0	6	0	0	0	3
Jake Davis	F	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jason Jakstys	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.9Possessions71.9

107.1Offensive Efficiency112.7

112.7Defensive Efficiency107.1

-5.6Net Efficiency5.6

57.8%Effective FG%55.1%

58.4%True Shooting %57.9%

18.1%Turnover Rate18.1%

6.3%Free Throw Rate39.0%

34.4%3-Point Rate37.3%

1.54Assist / Turnover0.38

Game Summary

Illinois won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 71.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.