San José State

9-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.6%San José State

97.4%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -24.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -3746

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan José State 63

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreMichigan State 87

Team Comparison

San José StateMetricMichigan State

42MMH Power Index69.8

108.7Offensive Efficiency117.0

118.5Defensive Efficiency101.5

-9.8Net Efficiency15.5

1.8Strength of Schedule7.2

-8.6Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

66.2Tempo67.3

50.8%Effective FG%54.1%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

34.2%Free Throw Rate36.6%

-6.5Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–42.0), offensive efficiency (117.0–108.7), defensive efficiency (101.5–118.5), net efficiency (15.5–-9.8).

San José State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.2–17.2).

Final

San José State

60—79

Michigan State

Michigan State by 19 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San José StateTEAM STATMichigan State

20-56FG28-58

36.0%FG%48.0%

8-273PT6-25

30.0%3PT%24.0%

12-18FT17-25

67.0%FT%68.0%

26Rebounds45

7Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists25

9Turnovers9

6Steals7

1Blocks6

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Colby Garland	G	35	10-16	2-2	0-1	3	3	1	0	22
Yaphet Moundi	F	31	1-5	0-2	11-16	11	1	2	0	13
Jermaine Washington	G	35	3-10	2-7	1-1	0	5	0	0	9
Ben Roseborough	G	28	3-10	2-7	0-0	0	1	1	0	8
Sadraque NgaNga	F	27	3-7	2-5	0-0	5	0	1	0	8
Melvin Bell Jr.	G	28	0-7	0-4	0-0	6	0	1	0	0
Marcus Overstreet	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Douglas Langford	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaden Goodall	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaxon Kohler	F	30	5-12	1-5	6-6	18	1	0	2	17
Carson Cooper	C	27	6-7	0-0	5-10	7	2	4	1	17
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	31	4-7	3-5	4-4	5	9	0	0	15
Kur Teng	G	19	4-8	2-5	0-0	0	2	0	0	10
Coen Carr	F	31	4-7	0-1	0-1	4	5	1	2	8
Cam Ward	F	15	3-4	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	7
Divine Ugochukwu	G	9	1-4	0-2	1-2	0	2	0	0	3
Trey Fort	G	16	1-6	0-5	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Jordan Scott	F	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Jesse McCulloch	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Denham Wojcik	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

90.5Offensive Efficiency119.2

119.2Defensive Efficiency90.5

-28.7Net Efficiency28.7

42.9%Effective FG%53.4%

46.5%True Shooting %56.5%

13.5%Turnover Rate13.7%

32.1%Free Throw Rate43.1%

48.2%3-Point Rate43.1%

1.11Assist / Turnover2.78

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.